Message:25431 In: SPACWX.USA
From: N4SDDate: Mon, 06 Jul 26 00:31:00 Z
Newsgroups: SPACWX.USA
Subject: Space Weather 3-Day Forecast
Message-ID: <17994_N4SD>
Path: K7EK|KI0BK|N5MDT|W0ARP|KE0GB|K5DAT|WW6Q|W9GM|KA3BVJ|KA3VSP|N4SD
R:260706/1358z @:K7EK.#NOKY.KY.USA.NOAM $:17994_N4SD
R:260706/1357Z 30249@KI0BK.#NEKS.KS.USA.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.24
R:260706/1330Z 1720@N5MDT.#STX.TX.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.25
R:260706/1330Z 42511@W0ARP.#NCO.CO.USA.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.25
R:260706/1329Z 13783@KE0GB.#SECO.CO.USA.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.25
R:260706/1323Z 44911@K5DAT.#NEWI.WI.USA.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.25
R:260706/1323Z 55729@WW6Q.#NEIN.IN.USA.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.25
R:260706/1323Z 3932@W9GM.#SWWI.WI.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.24
R:260706/1322Z 83637@KA3BVJ.#EPA.PA.USA.NOAM BPQ1.4.65
R:260706/1320Z 4481@KA3VSP.DE.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.25
R:260706/0031Z 17994@N4SD.#TIDE.VA.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.24
FXXX10 KWNP 060031
DAYTDF
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Jul 06 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
# 3-Day Forecast
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jul 06-Jul 08 2026 is 4.00 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Jul 06-Jul 08 2026
Jul 06 Jul 07 Jul 08
00-03UT 3.33 1.67 1.33
03-06UT 4.00 1.33 1.33
06-09UT 3.33 1.33 1.33
09-12UT 3.33 1.67 1.67
12-15UT 2.67 1.67 1.33
15-18UT 1.67 1.33 1.33
18-21UT 2.00 1.33 1.67
21-00UT 2.00 1.33 1.67
Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected
through 08 Jul.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jul 06-Jul 08 2026
Jul 06 Jul 07 Jul 08
S1 or greater 20% 10% 1%
Rationale: There is a slight chance for S1 (Minor) or greater solar
radiation storms on 06-07 Jul due to the complexity of the regions
transiting the western limb.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
Radio blackouts reaching the R2 levels were observed over the past 24
hours. The largest was at Jul 05 2026 1757 UTC.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Jul 06-Jul 08 2026
Jul 06 Jul 07 Jul 08
R1-R2 75% 60% 15%
R3 or greater 20% 10% 1%
Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are expected on 06
Jul, decreasing to likely on 07 Jul, and a slight chance on 08 Jul.
There is a slight chance for R3 (Strong) or greater events through 07
Jul.
------
73 de Sperry N4SD
N4SD@N4SD.#TIDE.VA.USA.NOAM
Received via NOAA GOES-East satellite downlink
Return To Bulletin List