Message:24849 In: SPACWX.USA
From: N4SDDate: Sun, 28 Jun 26 12:32:00 Z
Newsgroups: SPACWX.USA
Subject: Space Weather 3-Day Forecast
Message-ID: <17328_N4SD>
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FXXX10 KWNP 281231
DAYTDF
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Jun 28 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
# 3-Day Forecast
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 28-Jun 30 2026 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale
G1).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 28-Jun 30 2026
Jun 28 Jun 29 Jun 30
00-03UT 2.00 1.67 4.67 (G1)
03-06UT 2.00 1.33 5.00 (G1)
06-09UT 1.33 1.33 4.00
09-12UT 1.33 1.33 4.00
12-15UT 2.00 1.33 3.67
15-18UT 2.33 1.33 3.33
18-21UT 2.33 1.67 3.00
21-00UT 4.33 4.67 (G1) 1.67
Rationale: Isolated G1 (Minor) conditions are likely on 29-30 Jun due to
the potential arrival of the 26 Jun CME.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jun 28-Jun 30 2026
Jun 28 Jun 29 Jun 30
S1 or greater 5% 5% 5%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Jun 28-Jun 30 2026
Jun 28 Jun 29 Jun 30
R1-R2 50% 50% 50%
R3 or greater 10% 10% 10%
Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts
and a slight chance for R3 (Strong or greater) events, primarily due to
the potential of Regions 4475, 4478, and 4479.
------
73 de Sperry N4SD
N4SD@N4SD.#TIDE.VA.USA.NOAM
Received via NOAA GOES-East satellite downlink
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