Message:24815 In: SPACWX.USA
From: N4SDDate: Sun, 28 Jun 26 00:31:00 Z
Newsgroups: SPACWX.USA
Subject: Space Weather 3-Day Forecast
Message-ID: <17284_N4SD>
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FXXX10 KWNP 280031
DAYTDF
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Jun 28 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
# 3-Day Forecast
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 28-Jun 30 2026 is 4.33 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 28-Jun 30 2026
Jun 28 Jun 29 Jun 30
00-03UT 3.00 1.67 1.67
03-06UT 3.67 1.33 3.00
06-09UT 3.67 1.33 4.00
09-12UT 3.00 1.33 4.33
12-15UT 2.00 1.33 4.33
15-18UT 1.67 1.33 3.67
18-21UT 2.67 1.67 3.33
21-00UT 2.67 1.67 1.67
Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jun 28-Jun 30 2026
Jun 28 Jun 29 Jun 30
S1 or greater 5% 5% 5%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Jun 28-Jun 30 2026
Jun 28 Jun 29 Jun 30
R1-R2 50% 50% 50%
R3 or greater 10% 10% 10%
Rationale: A high chance for R1-2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts due
to M-class flare activity will presist through 30 Jun primarily due to
the flare potential presently observed in Regions 4475 and 4478.
------
73 de Sperry N4SD
N4SD@N4SD.#TIDE.VA.USA.NOAM
Received via NOAA GOES-East satellite downlink
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