Message:24515 In: SPACWX.USA
From: N4SDDate: Sun, 21 Jun 26 00:32:00 Z
Newsgroups: SPACWX.USA
Subject: Space Weather 3-Day Forecast
Message-ID: <16622_N4SD>
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FXXX10 KWNP 210031
DAYTDF
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Jun 21 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
# 3-Day Forecast
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 21-Jun 23 2026 is 3.00 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 21-Jun 23 2026
Jun 21 Jun 22 Jun 23
00-03UT 2.67 1.67 1.67
03-06UT 3.00 2.00 2.00
06-09UT 2.67 1.67 1.67
09-12UT 2.00 1.67 1.33
12-15UT 1.67 1.00 1.33
15-18UT 0.67 1.33 0.67
18-21UT 1.00 0.67 1.00
21-00UT 1.67 1.67 1.67
Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jun 21-Jun 23 2026
Jun 21 Jun 22 Jun 23
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24
hours. The largest was at Jun 20 2026 0151 UTC.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Jun 21-Jun 23 2026
Jun 21 Jun 22 Jun 23
R1-R2 35% 35% 35%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: There is a chance for R1 (Minor) radio blackouts on 21-23 Jun
due to the increased magnetic complexity of Regions 4472 and 4473.
------
73 de Sperry N4SD
N4SD@N4SD.#TIDE.VA.USA.NOAM
Received via NOAA GOES-East satellite downlink
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