Message:24267 In: SPACWX.USA
From: N4SDDate: Tue, 16 Jun 26 00:31:00 Z
Newsgroups: SPACWX.USA
Subject: Space Weather 3-Day Forecast
Message-ID: <16176_N4SD>
Path: K7EK|N3HYM|KA3VSP|N4SD
R:260616/0330z @:K7EK.#NOKY.KY.USA.NOAM $:16176_N4SD
R:260616/0317Z 7325@N3HYM.#FRDK.MD.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.25
R:260616/0315Z 3460@KA3VSP.DE.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.25
R:260616/0031Z 16176@N4SD.#TIDE.VA.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.24
FXXX10 KWNP 160031
DAYTDF
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Jun 16 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
# 3-Day Forecast
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 16-Jun 18 2026 is 4.00 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 16-Jun 18 2026
Jun 16 Jun 17 Jun 18
00-03UT 2.67 3.00 3.33
03-06UT 3.67 2.00 3.00
06-09UT 3.67 2.00 2.33
09-12UT 2.67 1.67 2.00
12-15UT 1.67 1.33 1.67
15-18UT 1.67 2.67 1.33
18-21UT 1.67 4.00 1.33
21-00UT 2.00 3.00 2.67
Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected
through 18 Jun.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jun 16-Jun 18 2026
Jun 16 Jun 17 Jun 18
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
through 18 Jun.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Jun 16-Jun 18 2026
Jun 16 Jun 17 Jun 18
R1-R2 20% 20% 20%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: There is a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts through 18 Jun.
------
73 de Sperry N4SD
N4SD@N4SD.#TIDE.VA.USA.NOAM
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