Message:24255 In: SPACWX.USA
From: N4SDDate: Mon, 15 Jun 26 18:17:00 Z
Newsgroups: SPACWX.USA
Subject: Space Weather 3-Day Forecast
Message-ID: <16146_N4SD>
Path: K7EK
R:260615/1817z @:K7EK.#NOKY.KY.USA.NOAM $:16146_N4SD
Energetic Particle
.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at low
to moderate levels, with a peak flux of 745 pfu observed at 03/1755 UTC.
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux at geosynchronous orbit remained at
baseline background levels.
.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
anticipated to rise to high levels on 04 June in response to CME
effects, remaining high through 06 June. While the greater than 10 MeV
proton flux is expected to remain below the S1 threshold, proton
enhancements are possible on 04 June due to CME shock front
interactions.
Solar Wind
.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters continued to be slightly elevated with conditions
reflecting possible embedded transient influences. Total magnetic field
(Bt) was rather variable, ranging from nearly 0 nT at 03/1849 UTC to 12
nT at 03/2050 UTC, though it converged on an average of 5 nT by the last
8 hours of the reporting period. The North-South (Bz) component was also
variable, with a maximum southward deflection of -9 nT at 04/0121 UTC.
Wind speeds were much more consistent, averaging approximately 425 km/s
for the first half of the reporting period before decreasing to average
400 km/s for the second half. The phi angle showed a crossing into the
positive (away from the Sun) sector at 03/1630 UTC, where it largely
stayed for the remainder of the reporting period.
.Forecast...
Conditions are anticipated to escalate dramatically mid- to late on 04
June with the arrival of the multiple 03 June CMEs. These significant
enhancements are expected to persist through 05 June with elevated
conditions continuing into 06 June.
Geospace
.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
.Forecast...
Geomagnetic field conditions are anticipated to reach up to G3 (Strong)
geomagnetic storming levels mid- to late on 04 June and persisting into
05 June in response to the multiple CME arrivals. There is a chance for
isolated periods of G4 (Severe) geomagnetic storming during the peak of
the multi-CME passage over 04-05 June. Conditions are expected to drop
to active levels, with a remaining chance for isolated G1 (Minor)
storming thresholds, on 06 June as CME effects gradually wane.
------
73 de Sperry N4SD
N4SD@N4SD.#TIDE.VA.USA.NOAM
Received via NOAA GOES-East satellite downlink
otpoint to fieldline
movement observed in GOES/SUVI 284 and 304 channels, suggesting the
eruption wrapped around the western limb, though this was difficult to
confirm with STEREO imagery due to the faintness of the structure in
that imagery. Modeling indicates there is no Earth-directed component.
.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to be at moderate to high levels through 06
June. M-class (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) flaring remains likely, with a
slight chance for X-class (R3/Strong or greater) events, primarily due
to the eruptive capabilities of Regions 4455, 4458, and 4459.
Energetic Particle
.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at low
to moderate levels, with a peak flux of 745 pfu observed at 03/1755 UTC.
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux at geosynchronous orbit remained at
baseline background levels.
.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
anticipated to rise to high levels on 04 June in response to CME
effects, remaining high through 06 June. While the greater than 10 MeV
proton flux is expected to remain below the S1 threshold, proton
enhancements are possible on 04 June due to CME shock front
interactions.
Solar Wind
.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters continued to be slightly elevated with conditions
reflecting possible embedded transient influences. Total magnetic field
(Bt) was rather variable, ranging from nearly 0 nT at 03/1849 UTC to 12
nT at 03/2050 UTC, though it converged on an average of 5 nT by the last
8 hours of the reporting period. The North-South (Bz) component was also
variable, with a maximum southward deflection of -9 nT at 04/0121 UTC.
Wind speeds were much more consistent, averaging approximately 425 km/s
for the first half of the reporting period before decreasing to average
400 km/s for the second half. The phi angle showed a crossing into the
positive (away from the Sun) sector at 03/1630 UTC, where it largely
stayed for the remainder of the reporting period.
.Forecast...
Conditions are anticipated to escalate dramatically mid- to late on 04
June with the arrival of the multiple 03 June CMEs. These significant
enhancements are expected to persist through 05 June with elevated
conditions continuing into 06 June.
Geospace
.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
.Forecast...
Geomagnetic field conditions are anticipated to reach up to G3 (Strong)
geomagnetic storming levels mid- to late on 04 June and persisting into
05 June in response to the multiple CME arrivals. There is a chance for
isolated periods of G4 (Severe) geomagnetic storming during the peak of
the multi-CME passage over 04-05 June. Conditions are expected to drop
to active levels, with a remaining chance for isolated G1 (Minor)
storming thresholds, on 06 June as CME effects gradually wane.
------
73 de Sperry N4SD
N4SD@N4SD.#TIDE.VA.USA.NOAM
Received via NOAA GOES-East satellite downlink
otpoint to fieldline
movement observed in GOES/SUVI 284 and 304 channels, suggesting the
eruption wrapped around the western limb, though this was difficult to
confirm with STEREO imagery due to the faintness of the structure in
that imagery. Modeling indicates there is no Earth-directed component.
.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to be at moderate to high levels through 06
June. M-class (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) flaring remains likely, with a
slight chance for X-class (R3/Strong or greater) events, primarily due
to the eruptive capabilities of Regions 4455, 4458, and 4459.
Energetic Particle
.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at low
to moderate levels, with a peak flux of 745 pfu observed at 03/1755 UTC.
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux at geosynchronous orbit remained at
baseline background levels.
.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
anticipated to rise to high levels on 04 June in response to CME
effects, remaining high through 06 June. While the greater than 10 MeV
proton flux is expected to remain below the S1 threshold, proton
enhancements are possible on 04 June due to CME shock front
interactions.
Solar Wind
.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters continued to be slightly elevated with conditions
reflecting possible embedded transient influences. Total magnetic field
(Bt) was rather variable, ranging from nearly 0 nT at 03/1849 UTC to 12
nT at 03/2050 UTC, though it converged on an average of 5 nT by the last
8 hours of the reporting period. The North-South (Bz) component was also
variable, with a maximum southward deflection of -9 nT at 04/0121 UTC.
Wind speeds were much more consistent, averaging approximately 425 km/s
for the first half of the reporting period before decreasing to average
400 km/s for the second half. The phi angle showed a crossing into the
positive (away from the Sun) sector at 03/1630 UTC, where it largely
stayed for the remainder of the reporting period.
.Forecast...
Conditions are anticipated to escalate dramatically mid- to late on 04
June with the arrival of the multiple 03 June CMEs. These significant
enhancements are expected to persist through 05 June with elevated
conditions continuing into 06 June.
Geospace
.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
.Forecast...
Geomagnetic field conditions are anticipated to reach up to G3 (Strong)
geomagnetic storming levels mid- to late on 04 June and persisting into
05 June in response to the multiple CME arrivals. There is a chance for
isolated periods of G4 (Severe) geomagnetic storming during the peak of
the multi-CME passage over 04-05 June. Conditions are expected to drop
to active levels, with a remaining chance for isolated G1 (Minor)
storming thresholds, on 06 June as CME effects gradually wane.
------
73 de Sperry N4SD
N4SD@N4SD.#TIDE.VA.USA.NOAM
Received via NOAA GOES-East satellite downlink
otpoint to fieldline
movement observed in GOES/SUVI 284 and 304 channels, suggesting the
eruption wrapped around the western limb, though this was difficult to
confirm with STEREO imagery due to the faintness of the structure in
that imagery. Modeling indicates there is no Earth-directed component.
.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to be at moderate to high levels through 06
June. M-class (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) flaring remains likely, with a
slight chance for X-class (R3/Strong or greater) events, primarily due
to the eruptive capabilities of Regions 4455, 4458, and 4459.
Energetic Particle
.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at low
to moderate levels, with a peak flux of 745 pfu observed at 03/1755 UTC.
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux at geosynchronous orbit remained at
baseline background levels.
.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
anticipated to rise to high levels on 04 June in response to CME
effects, remaining high through 06 June. While the greater than 10 MeV
proton flux is expected to remain below the S1 threshold, proton
enhancements are possible on 04 June due to CME shock front
interactions.
Solar Wind
.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters continued to be slightly elevated with conditions
reflecting possible embedded transient influences. Total magnetic field
(Bt) was rather variable, ranging from nearly 0 nT at 03/1849 UTC to 12
nT at 03/2050 UTC, though it converged on an average of 5 nT by the last
8 hours of the reporting period. The North-South (Bz) component was also
variable, with a maximum southward deflection of -9 nT at 04/0121 UTC.
Wind speeds were much more consistent, averaging approximately 425 km/s
for the first half of the reporting period before decreasing to average
400 km/s for the second half. The phi angle showed a crossing into the
positive (away from the Sun) sector at 03/1630 UTC, where it largely
stayed for the remainder of the reporting period.
.Forecast...
Conditions are anticipated to escalate dramatically mid- to late on 04
June with the arrival of the multiple 03 June CMEs. These significant
enhancements are expected to persist through 05 June with elevated
conditions continuing into 06 June.
Geospace
.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
.Forecast...
Geomagnetic field conditions are anticipated to reach up to G3 (Strong)
geomagnetic storming levels mid- to late on 04 June and persisting into
05 June in response to the multiple CME arrivals. There is a chance for
isolated periods of G4 (Severe) geomagnetic storming during the peak of
the multi-CME passage over 04-05 June. Conditions are expected to drop
to active levels, with a remaining chance for isolated G1 (Minor)
storming thresholds, on 06 June as CME effects gradually wane.
------
73 de Sperry N4SD
N4SD@N4SD.#TIDE.VA.USA.NOAM
Received via NOAA GOES-East satellite downlink
otpoint to fieldline
movement observed in GOES/SUVI 284 and 304 channels, suggesting the
eruption wrapped around the western limb, though this was difficult to
confirm with STEREO imagery due to the faintness of the structure in
that imagery. Modeling indicates there is no Earth-directed component.
.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to be at moderate to high levels through 06
June. M-class (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) flaring remains likely, with a
slight chance for X-class (R3/Strong or greater) events, primarily due
to the eruptive capabilities of Regions 4455, 4458, and 4459.
Energetic Particle
.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at low
to moderate levels, with a peak flux of 745 pfu observed at 03/1755 UTC.
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux at geosynchronous orbit remained at
baseline background levels.
.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
anticipated to rise to high levels on 04 June in response to CME
effects, remaining high through 06 June. While the greater than 10 MeV
proton flux is expected to remain below the S1 threshold, proton
enhancements are possible on 04 June due to CME shock front
interactions.
Solar Wind
.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters continued to be slightly elevated with conditions
reflecting possible embedded transient influences. Total magnetic field
(Bt) was rather variable, ranging from nearly 0 nT at 03/1849 UTC to 12
nT at 03/2050 UTC, though it converged on an average of 5 nT by the last
8 hours of the reporting period. The North-South (Bz) component was also
variable, with a maximum southward deflection of -9 nT at 04/0121 UTC.
Wind speeds were much more consistent, averaging approximately 425 km/s
for the first half of the reporting period before decreasing to average
400 km/s for the second half. The phi angle showed a crossing into the
positive (away from the Sun) sector at 03/1630 UTC, where it largely
stayed for the remainder of the reporting period.
.Forecast...
Conditions are anticipated to escalate dramatically mid- to late on 04
June with the arrival of the multiple 03 June CMEs. These significant
enhancements are expected to persist through 05 June with elevated
conditions continuing into 06 June.
Geospace
.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
.Forecast...
Geomagnetic field conditions are anticipated to reach up to G3 (Strong)
geomagnetic storming levels mid- to late on 04 June and persisting into
05 June in response to the multiple CME arrivals. There is a chance for
isolated periods of G4 (Severe) geomagnetic storming during the peak of
the multi-CME passage over 04-05 June. Conditions are expected to drop
to active levels, with a remaining chance for isolated G1 (Minor)
storming thresholds, on 06 June as CME effects gradually wane.
------
73 de Sperry N4SD
N4SD@N4SD.#TIDE.VA.USA.NOAM
Received via NOAA GOES-East satellite downlink
otpoint to fieldline
movement observed in GOES/SUVI 284 and 304 channels, suggesting the
eruption wrapped around the western limb, though this was difficult to
confirm with STEREO imagery due to the faintness of the structure in
that imagery. Modeling indicates there is no Earth-directed component.
.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to be at moderate to high levels through 06
June. M-class (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) flaring remains likely, with a
slight chance for X-class (R3/Strong or greater) events, primarily due
to the eruptive capabilities of Regions 4455, 4458, and 4459.
Energetic Particle
.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at low
to moderate levels, with a peak flux of 745 pfu observed at 03/1755 UTC.
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux at geosynchronous orbit remained at
baseline background levels.
.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
anticipated to rise to high levels on 04 June in response to CME
effects, remaining high through 06 June. While the greater than 10 MeV
proton flux is expected to remain below the S1 threshold, proton
enhancements are possible on 04 June due to CME shock front
interactions.
Solar Wind
.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters continued to be slightly elevated with conditions
reflecting possible embedded transient influences. Total magnetic field
(Bt) was rather variable, ranging from nearly 0 nT at 03/1849 UTC to 12
nT at 03/2050 UTC, though it converged on an average of 5 nT by the last
8 hours of the reporting period. The North-South (Bz) component was also
variable, with a maximum southward deflection of -9 nT at 04/0121 UTC.
Wind speeds were much more consistent, averaging approximately 425 km/s
for the first half of the reporting period before decreasing to average
400 km/s for the second half. The phi angle showed a crossing into the
positive (away from the Sun) sector at 03/1630 UTC, where it largely
stayed for the remainder of the reporting period.
.Forecast...
Conditions are anticipated to escalate dramatically mid- to late on 04
June with the arrival of the multiple 03 June CMEs. These significant
enhancements are expected to persist through 05 June with elevated
conditions continuing into 06 June.
Geospace
.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
.Forecast...
Geomagnetic field conditions are anticipated to reach up to G3 (Strong)
geomagnetic storming levels mid- to late on 04 June and persisting into
05 June in response to the multiple CME arrivals. There is a chance for
isolated periods of G4 (Severe) geomagnetic storming during the peak of
the multi-CME passage over 04-05 June. Conditions are expected to drop
to active levels, with a remaining chance for isolated G1 (Minor)
storming thresholds, on 06 June as CME effects gradually wane.
------
73 de Sperry N4SD
N4SD@N4SD.#TIDE.VA.USA.NOAM
Received via NOAA GOES-East satellite downlink
otpoint to fieldline
movement observed in GOES/SUVI 284 and 304 channels, suggesting the
eruption wrapped around the western limb, though this was difficult to
confirm with STEREO imagery due to the faintness of the structure in
that imagery. Modeling indicates there is no Earth-directed component.
.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to be at moderate to high levels through 06
June. M-class (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) flaring remains likely, with a
slight chance for X-class (R3/Strong or greater) events, primarily due
to the eruptive capabilities of Regions 4455, 4458, and 4459.
Energetic Particle
.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at low
to moderate levels, with a peak flux of 745 pfu observed at 03/1755 UTC.
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux at geosynchronous orbit remained at
baseline background levels.
.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
anticipated to rise to high levels on 04 June in response to CME
effects, remaining high through 06 June. While the greater than 10 MeV
proton flux is expected to remain below the S1 threshold, proton
enhancements are possible on 04 June due to CME shock front
interactions.
Solar Wind
.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters continued to be slightly elevated with conditions
reflecting possible embedded transient influences. Total magnetic field
(Bt) was rather variable, ranging from nearly 0 nT at 03/1849 UTC to 12
nT at 03/2050 UTC, though it converged on an average of 5 nT by the last
8 hours of the reporting period. The North-South (Bz) component was also
variable, with a maximum southward deflection of -9 nT at 04/0121 UTC.
Wind speeds were much more consistent, averaging approximately 425 km/s
for the first half of the reporting period before decreasing to average
400 km/s for the second half. The phi angle showed a crossing into the
positive (away from the Sun) sector at 03/1630 UTC, where it largely
stayed for the remainder of the reporting period.
.Forecast...
Conditions are anticipated to escalate dramatically mid- to late on 04
June with the arrival of the multiple 03 June CMEs. These significant
enhancements are expected to persist through 05 June with elevated
conditions continuing into 06 June.
Geospace
.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
.Forecast...
Geomagnetic field conditions are anticipated to reach up to G3 (Strong)
geomagnetic storming levels mid- to late on 04 June and persisting into
05 June in response to the multiple CME arrivals. There is a chance for
isolated periods of G4 (Severe) geomagnetic storming during the peak of
the multi-CME passage over 04-05 June. Conditions are expected to drop
to active levels, with a remaining chance for isolated G1 (Minor)
storming thresholds, on 06 June as CME effects gradually wane.
------
73 de Sperry N4SD
N4SD@N4SD.#TIDE.VA.USA.NOAM
Received via NOAA GOES-East satellite downlink
otpoint to fieldline
movement observed in GOES/SUVI 284 and 304 channels, suggesting the
eruption wrapped around the western limb, though this was difficult to
confirm with STEREO imagery due to the faintness of the structure in
that imagery. Modeling indicates there is no Earth-directed component.
.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to be at moderate to high levels through 06
June. M-class (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) flaring remains likely, with a
slight chance for X-class (R3/Strong or greater) events, primarily due
to the eruptive capabilities of Regions 4455, 4458, and 4459.
Energetic Particle
.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at low
to moderate levels, with a peak flux of 745 pfu observed at 03/1755 UTC.
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux at geosynchronous orbit remained at
baseline background levels.
.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
anticipated to rise to high levels on 04 June in response to CME
effects, remaining high through 06 June. While the greater than 10 MeV
proton flux is expected to remain below the S1 threshold, proton
enhancements are possible on 04 June due to CME shock front
interactions.
Solar Wind
.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters continued to be slightly elevated with conditions
reflecting possible embedded transient influences. Total magnetic field
(Bt) was rather variable, ranging from nearly 0 nT at 03/1849 UTC to 12
nT at 03/2050 UTC, though it converged on an average of 5 nT by the last
8 hours of the reporting period. The North-South (Bz) component was also
variable, with a maximum southward deflection of -9 nT at 04/0121 UTC.
Wind speeds were much more consistent, averaging approximately 425 km/s
for the first half of the reporting period before decreasing to average
400 km/s for the second half. The phi angle showed a crossing into the
positive (away from the Sun) sector at 03/1630 UTC, where it largely
stayed for the remainder of the reporting period.
.Forecast...
Conditions are anticipated to escalate dramatically mid- to late on 04
June with the arrival of the multiple 03 June CMEs. These significant
enhancements are expected to persist through 05 June with elevated
conditions continuing into 06 June.
Geospace
.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
.Forecast...
Geomagnetic field conditions are anticipated to reach up to G3 (Strong)
geomagnetic storming levels mid- to late on 04 June and persisting into
05 June in response to the multiple CME arrivals. There is a chance for
isolated periods of G4 (Severe) geomagnetic storming during the peak of
the multi-CME passage over 04-05 June. Conditions are expected to drop
to active levels, with a remaining chance for isolated G1 (Minor)
storming thresholds, on 06 June as CME effects gradually wane.
------
73 de Sperry N4SD
N4SD@N4SD.#TIDE.VA.USA.NOAM
Received via NOAA GOES-East satellite downlink
otpoint to fieldline
movement observed in GOES/SUVI 284 and 304 channels, suggesting the
eruption wrapped around the western limb, though this was difficult to
confirm with STEREO imagery due to the faintness of the structure in
that imagery. Modeling indicates there is no Earth-directed component.
.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to be at moderate to high levels through 06
June. M-class (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) flaring remains likely, with a
slight chance for X-class (R3/Strong or greater) events, primarily due
to the eruptive capabilities of Regions 4455, 4458, and 4459.
Energetic Particle
.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at low
to moderate levels, with a peak flux of 745 pfu observed at 03/1755 UTC.
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux at geosynchronous orbit remained at
baseline background levels.
.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
anticipated to rise to high levels on 04 June in response to CME
effects, remaining high through 06 June. While the greater than 10 MeV
proton flux is expected to remain below the S1 threshold, proton
enhancements are possible on 04 June due to CME shock front
interactions.
Solar Wind
.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters continued to be slightly elevated with conditions
reflecting possible embedded transient influences. Total magnetic field
(Bt) was rather variable, ranging from nearly 0 nT at 03/1849 UTC to 12
nT at 03/2050 UTC, though it converged on an average of 5 nT by the last
8 hours of the reporting period. The North-South (Bz) component was also
variable, with a maximum southward deflection of -9 nT at 04/0121 UTC.
Wind speeds were much more consistent, averaging approximately 425 km/s
for the first half of the reporting period before decreasing to average
400 km/s for the second half. The phi angle showed a crossing into the
positive (away from the Sun) sector at 03/1630 UTC, where it largely
stayed for the remainder of the reporting period.
.Forecast...
Conditions are anticipated to escalate dramatically mid- to late on 04
June with the arrival of the multiple 03 June CMEs. These significant
enhancements are expected to persist through 05 June with elevated
conditions continuing into 06 June.
Geospace
.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
.Forecast...
Geomagnetic field conditions are anticipated to reach up to G3 (Strong)
geomagnetic storming levels mid- to late on 04 June and persisting into
05 June in response to the multiple CME arrivals. There is a chance for
isolated periods of G4 (Severe) geomagnetic storming during the peak of
the multi-CME passage over 04-05 June. Conditions are expected to drop
to active levels, with a remaining chance for isolated G1 (Minor)
storming thresholds, on 06 June as CME effects gradually wane.
------
73 de Sperry N4SD
N4SD@N4SD.#TIDE.VA.USA.NOAM
Received via NOAA GOES-East satellite downlink
otpoint to fieldline
movement observed in GOES/SUVI 284 and 304 channels, suggesting the
eruption wrapped around the western limb, though this was difficult to
confirm with STEREO imagery due to the faintness of the structure in
that imagery. Modeling indicates there is no Earth-directed component.
.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to be at moderate to high levels through 06
June. M-class (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) flaring remains likely, with a
slight chance for X-class (R3/Strong or greater) events, primarily due
to the eruptive capabilities of Regions 4455, 4458, and 4459.
Energetic Particle
.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at low
to moderate levels, with a peak flux of 745 pfu observed at 03/1755 UTC.
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux at geosynchronous orbit remained at
baseline background levels.
.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
anticipated to rise to high levels on 04 June in response to CME
effects, remaining high through 06 June. While the greater than 10 MeV
proton flux is expected to remain below the S1 threshold, proton
enhancements are possible on 04 June due to CME shock front
interactions.
Solar Wind
.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters continued to be slightly elevated with conditions
reflecting possible embedded transient influences. Total magnetic field
(Bt) was rather variable, ranging from nearly 0 nT at 03/1849 UTC to 12
nT at 03/2050 UTC, though it converged on an average of 5 nT by the last
8 hours of the reporting period. The North-South (Bz) component was also
variable, with a maximum southward deflection of -9 nT at 04/0121 UTC.
Wind speeds were much more consistent, averaging approximately 425 km/s
for the first half of the reporting period before decreasing to average
400 km/s for the second half. The phi angle showed a crossing into the
positive (away from the Sun) sector at 03/1630 UTC, where it largely
stayed for the remainder of the reporting period.
.Forecast...
Conditions are anticipated to escalate dramatically mid- to late on 04
June with the arrival of the multiple 03 June CMEs. These significant
enhancements are expected to persist through 05 June with elevated
conditions continuing into 06 June.
Geospace
.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
.Forecast...
Geomagnetic field conditions are anticipated to reach up to G3 (Strong)
geomagnetic storming levels mid- to late on 04 June and persisting into
05 June in response to the multiple CME arrivals. There is a chance for
isolated periods of G4 (Severe) geomagnetic storming during the peak of
the multi-CME passage over 04-05 June. Conditions are expected to drop
to active levels, with a remaining chance for isolated G1 (Minor)
storming thresholds, on 06 June as CME effects gradually wane.
------
73 de Sperry N4SD
N4SD@N4SD.#TIDE.VA.USA.NOAM
Received via NOAA GOES-East satellite downlink
otpoint to fieldline
movement observed in GOES/SUVI 284 and 304 channels, suggesting the
eruption wrapped around the western limb, though this was difficult to
confirm with STEREO imagery due to the faintness of the structure in
that imagery. Modeling indicates there is no Earth-directed component.
.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to be at moderate to high levels through 06
June. M-class (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) flaring remains likely, with a
slight chance for X-class (R3/Strong or greater) events, primarily due
to the eruptive capabilities of Regions 4455, 4458, and 4459.
Energetic Particle
.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at low
to moderate levels, with a peak flux of 745 pfu observed at 03/1755 UTC.
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux at geosynchronous orbit remained at
baseline background levels.
.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
anticipated to rise to high levels on 04 June in response to CME
effects, remaining high through 06 June. While the greater than 10 MeV
proton flux is expected to remain below the S1 threshold, proton
enhancements are possible on 04 June due to CME shock front
interactions.
Solar Wind
.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters continued to be slightly elevated with conditions
reflecting possible embedded transient influences. Total magnetic field
(Bt) was rather variable, ranging from nearly 0 nT at 03/1849 UTC to 12
nT at 03/2050 UTC, though it converged on an average of 5 nT by the last
8 hours of the reporting period. The North-South (Bz) component was also
variable, with a maximum southward deflection of -9 nT at 04/0121 UTC.
Wind speeds were much more consistent, averaging approximately 425 km/s
for the first half of the reporting period before decreasing to average
400 km/s for the second half. The phi angle showed a crossing into the
positive (away from the Sun) sector at 03/1630 UTC, where it largely
stayed for the remainder of the reporting period.
.Forecast...
Conditions are anticipated to escalate dramatically mid- to late on 04
June with the arrival of the multiple 03 June CMEs. These significant
enhancements are expected to persist through 05 June with elevated
conditions continuing into 06 June.
Geospace
.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
.Forecast...
Geomagnetic field conditions are anticipated to reach up to G3 (Strong)
geomagnetic storming levels mid- to late on 04 June and persisting into
05 June in response to the multiple CME arrivals. There is a chance for
isolated periods of G4 (Severe) geomagnetic storming during the peak of
the multi-CME passage over 04-05 June. Conditions are expected to drop
to active levels, with a remaining chance for isolated G1 (Minor)
storming thresholds, on 06 June as CME effects gradually wane.
------
73 de Sperry N4SD
N4SD@N4SD.#TIDE.VA.USA.NOAM
Received via NOAA GOES-East satellite downlink
otpoint to fieldline
movement observed in GOES/SUVI 284 and 304 channels, suggesting the
eruption wrapped around the western limb, though this was difficult to
confirm with STEREO imagery due to the faintness of the structure in
that imagery. Modeling indicates there is no Earth-directed component.
.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to be at moderate to high levels through 06
June. M-class (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) flaring remains likely, with a
slight chance for X-class (R3/Strong or greater) events, primarily due
to the eruptive capabilities of Regions 4455, 4458, and 4459.
Energetic Particle
.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at low
to moderate levels, with a peak flux of 745 pfu observed at 03/1755 UTC.
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux at geosynchronous orbit remained at
baseline background levels.
.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
anticipated to rise to high levels on 04 June in response to CME
effects, remaining high through 06 June. While the greater than 10 MeV
proton flux is expected to remain below the S1 threshold, proton
enhancements are possible on 04 June due to CME shock front
interactions.
Solar Wind
.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters continued to be slightly elevated with conditions
reflecting possible embedded transient influences. Total magnetic field
(Bt) was rather variable, ranging from nearly 0 nT at 03/1849 UTC to 12
nT at 03/2050 UTC, though it converged on an average of 5 nT by the last
8 hours of the reporting period. The North-South (Bz) component was also
variable, with a maximum southward deflection of -9 nT at 04/0121 UTC.
Wind speeds were much more consistent, averaging approximately 425 km/s
for the first half of the reporting period before decreasing to average
400 km/s for the second half. The phi angle showed a crossing into the
positive (away from the Sun) sector at 03/1630 UTC, where it largely
stayed for the remainder of the reporting period.
.Forecast...
Conditions are anticipated to escalate dramatically mid- to late on 04
June with the arrival of the multiple 03 June CMEs. These significant
enhancements are expected to persist through 05 June with elevated
conditions continuing into 06 June.
Geospace
.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
.Forecast...
Geomagnetic field conditions are anticipated to reach up to G3 (Strong)
geomagnetic storming levels mid- to late on 04 June and persisting into
05 June in response to the multiple CME arrivals. There is a chance for
isolated periods of G4 (Severe) geomagnetic storming during the peak of
the multi-CME passage over 04-05 June. Conditions are expected to drop
to active levels, with a remaining chance for isolated G1 (Minor)
storming thresholds, on 06 June as CME effects gradually wane.
------
73 de Sperry N4SD
N4SD@N4SD.#TIDE.VA.USA.NOAM
Received via NOAA GOES-East satellite downlink
otpoint to fieldline
movement observed in GOES/SUVI 284 and 304 channels, suggesting the
eruption wrapped around the western limb, though this was difficult to
confirm with STEREO imagery due to the faintness of the structure in
that imagery. Modeling indicates there is no Earth-directed component.
.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to be at moderate to high levels through 06
June. M-class (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) flaring remains likely, with a
slight chance for X-class (R3/Strong or greater) events, primarily due
to the eruptive capabilities of Regions 4455, 4458, and 4459.
Energetic Particle
.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at low
to moderate levels, with a peak flux of 745 pfu observed at 03/1755 UTC.
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux at geosynchronous orbit remained at
baseline background levels.
.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
anticipated to rise to high levels on 04 June in response to CME
effects, remaining high through 06 June. While the greater than 10 MeV
proton flux is expected to remain below the S1 threshold, proton
enhancements are possible on 04 June due to CME shock front
interactions.
Solar Wind
.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters continued to be slightly elevated with conditions
reflecting possible embedded transient influences. Total magnetic field
(Bt) was rather variable, ranging from nearly 0 nT at 03/1849 UTC to 12
nT at 03/2050 UTC, though it converged on an average of 5 nT by the last
8 hours of the reporting period. The North-South (Bz) component was also
variable, with a maximum southward deflection of -9 nT at 04/0121 UTC.
Wind speeds were much more consistent, averaging approximately 425 km/s
for the first half of the reporting period before decreasing to average
400 km/s for the second half. The phi angle showed a crossing into the
positive (away from the Sun) sector at 03/1630 UTC, where it largely
stayed for the remainder of the reporting period.
.Forecast...
Conditions are anticipated to escalate dramatically mid- to late on 04
June with the arrival of the multiple 03 June CMEs. These significant
enhancements are expected to persist through 05 June with elevated
conditions continuing into 06 June.
Geospace
.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
.Forecast...
Geomagnetic field conditions are anticipated to reach up to G3 (Strong)
geomagnetic storming levels mid- to late on 04 June and persisting into
05 June in response to the multiple CME arrivals. There is a chance for
isolated periods of G4 (Severe) geomagnetic storming during the peak of
the multi-CME passage over 04-05 June. Conditions are expected to drop
to active levels, with a remaining chance for isolated G1 (Minor)
storming thresholds, on 06 June as CME effects gradually wane.
------
73 de Sperry N4SD
N4SD@N4SD.#TIDE.VA.USA.NOAM
Received via NOAA GOES-East satellite downlink
otpoint to fieldline
movement observed in GOES/SUVI 284 and 304 channels, suggesting the
eruption wrapped around the western limb, though this was difficult to
confirm with STEREO imagery due to the faintness of the structure in
that imagery. Modeling indicates there is no Earth-directed component.
.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to be at moderate to high levels through 06
June. M-class (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) flaring remains likely, with a
slight chance for X-class (R3/Strong or greater) events, primarily due
to the eruptive capabilities of Regions 4455, 4458, and 4459.
Energetic Particle
.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at low
to moderate levels, with a peak flux of 745 pfu observed at 03/1755 UTC.
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux at geosynchronous orbit remained at
baseline background levels.
.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
anticipated to rise to high levels on 04 June in response to CME
effects, remaining high through 06 June. While the greater than 10 MeV
proton flux is expected to remain below the S1 threshold, proton
enhancements are possible on 04 June due to CME shock front
interactions.
Solar Wind
.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters continued to be slightly elevated with conditions
reflecting possible embedded transient influences. Total magnetic field
(Bt) was rather variable, ranging from nearly 0 nT at 03/1849 UTC to 12
nT at 03/2050 UTC, though it converged on an average of 5 nT by the last
8 hours of the reporting period. The North-South (Bz) component was also
variable, with a maximum southward deflection of -9 nT at 04/0121 UTC.
Wind speeds were much more consistent, averaging approximately 425 km/s
for the first half of the reporting period before decreasing to average
400 km/s for the second half. The phi angle showed a crossing into the
positive (away from the Sun) sector at 03/1630 UTC, where it largely
stayed for the remainder of the reporting period.
.Forecast...
Conditions are anticipated to escalate dramatically mid- to late on 04
June with the arrival of the multiple 03 June CMEs. These significant
enhancements are expected to persist through 05 June with elevated
conditions continuing into 06 June.
Geospace
.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
.Forecast...
Geomagnetic field conditions are anticipated to reach up to G3 (Strong)
geomagnetic storming levels mid- to late on 04 June and persisting into
05 June in response to the multiple CME arrivals. There is a chance for
isolated periods of G4 (Severe) geomagnetic storming during the peak of
the multi-CME passage over 04-05 June. Conditions are expected to drop
to active levels, with a remaining chance for isolated G1 (Minor)
storming thresholds, on 06 June as CME effects gradually wane.
------
73 de Sperry N4SD
N4SD@N4SD.#TIDE.VA.USA.NOAM
Received via NOAA GOES-East satellite downlink
otpoint to fieldline
movement observed in GOES/SUVI 284 and 304 channels, suggesting the
eruption wrapped around the western limb, though this was difficult to
confirm with STEREO imagery due to the faintness of the structure in
that imagery. Modeling indicates there is no Earth-directed component.
.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to be at moderate to high levels through 06
June. M-class (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) flaring remains likely, with a
slight chance for X-class (R3/Strong or greater) events, primarily due
to the eruptive capabilities of Regions 4455, 4458, and 4459.
Energetic Particle
.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at low
to moderate levels, with a peak flux of 745 pfu observed at 03/1755 UTC.
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux at geosynchronous orbit remained at
baseline background levels.
.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
anticipated to rise to high levels on 04 June in response to CME
effects, remaining high through 06 June. While the greater than 10 MeV
proton flux is expected to remain below the S1 threshold, proton
enhancements are possible on 04 June due to CME shock front
interactions.
Solar Wind
.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters continued to be slightly elevated with conditions
reflecting possible embedded transient influences. Total magnetic field
(Bt) was rather variable, ranging from nearly 0 nT at 03/1849 UTC to 12
nT at 03/2050 UTC, though it converged on an average of 5 nT by the last
8 hours of the reporting period. The North-South (Bz) component was also
variable, with a maximum southward deflection of -9 nT at 04/0121 UTC.
Wind speeds were much more consistent, averaging approximately 425 km/s
for the first half of the reporting period before decreasing to average
400 km/s for the second half. The phi angle showed a crossing into the
positive (away from the Sun) sector at 03/1630 UTC, where it largely
stayed for the remainder of the reporting period.
.Forecast...
Conditions are anticipated to escalate dramatically mid- to late on 04
June with the arrival of the multiple 03 June CMEs. These significant
enhancements are expected to persist through 05 June with elevated
conditions continuing into 06 June.
Geospace
.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
.Forecast...
Geomagnetic field conditions are anticipated to reach up to G3 (Strong)
geomagnetic storming levels mid- to late on 04 June and persisting into
05 June in response to the multiple CME arrivals. There is a chance for
isolated periods of G4 (Severe) geomagnetic storming during the peak of
the multi-CME passage over 04-05 June. Conditions are expected to drop
to active levels, with a remaining chance for isolated G1 (Minor)
storming thresholds, on 06 June as CME effects gradually wane.
------
73 de Sperry N4SD
N4SD@N4SD.#TIDE.VA.USA.NOAM
Received via NOAA GOES-East satellite downlink
otpoint to fieldline
movement observed in GOES/SUVI 284 and 304 channels, suggesting the
eruption wrapped around the western limb, though this was difficult to
confirm with STEREO imagery due to the faintness of the structure in
that imagery. Modeling indicates there is no Earth-directed component.
.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to be at moderate to high levels through 06
June. M-class (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) flaring remains likely, with a
slight chance for X-class (R3/Strong or greater) events, primarily due
to the eruptive capabilities of Regions 4455, 4458, and 4459.
Energetic Particle
.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at low
to moderate levels, with a peak flux of 745 pfu observed at 03/1755 UTC.
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux at geosynchronous orbit remained at
baseline background levels.
.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
anticipated to rise to high levels on 04 June in response to CME
effects, remaining high through 06 June. While the greater than 10 MeV
proton flux is expected to remain below the S1 threshold, proton
enhancements are possible on 04 June due to CME shock front
interactions.
Solar Wind
.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters continued to be slightly elevated with conditions
reflecting possible embedded transient influences. Total magnetic field
(Bt) was rather variable, ranging from nearly 0 nT at 03/1849 UTC to 12
nT at 03/2050 UTC, though it converged on an average of 5 nT by the last
8 hours of the reporting period. The North-South (Bz) component was also
variable, with a maximum southward deflection of -9 nT at 04/0121 UTC.
Wind speeds were much more consistent, averaging approximately 425 km/s
for the first half of the reporting period before decreasing to average
400 km/s for the second half. The phi angle showed a crossing into the
positive (away from the Sun) sector at 03/1630 UTC, where it largely
stayed for the remainder of the reporting period.
.Forecast...
Conditions are anticipated to escalate dramatically mid- to late on 04
June with the arrival of the multiple 03 June CMEs. These significant
enhancements are expected to persist through 05 June with elevated
conditions continuing into 06 June.
Geospace
.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
.Forecast...
Geomagnetic field conditions are anticipated to reach up to G3 (Strong)
geomagnetic storming levels mid- to late on 04 June and persisting into
05 June in response to the multiple CME arrivals. There is a chance for
isolated periods of G4 (Severe) geomagnetic storming during the peak of
the multi-CME passage over 04-05 June. Conditions are expected to drop
to active levels, with a remaining chance for isolated G1 (Minor)
storming thresholds, on 06 June as CME effects gradually wane.
------
73 de Sperry N4SD
N4SD@N4SD.#TIDE.VA.USA.NOAM
Received via NOAA GOES-East satellite downlink
otpoint to fieldline
movement observed in GOES/SUVI 284 and 304 channels, suggesting the
eruption wrapped around the western limb, though this was difficult to
confirm with STEREO imagery due to the faintness of the structure in
that imagery. Modeling indicates there is no Earth-directed component.
.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to be at moderate to high levels through 06
June. M-class (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) flaring remains likely, with a
slight chance for X-class (R3/Strong or greater) events, primarily due
to the eruptive capabilities of Regions 4455, 4458, and 4459.
Energetic Particle
.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at low
to moderate levels, with a peak flux of 745 pfu observed at 03/1755 UTC.
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux at geosynchronous orbit remained at
baseline background levels.
.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
anticipated to rise to high levels on 04 June in response to CME
effects, remaining high through 06 June. While the greater than 10 MeV
proton flux is expected to remain below the S1 threshold, proton
enhancements are possible on 04 June due to CME shock front
interactions.
Solar Wind
.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters continued to be slightly elevated with conditions
reflecting possible embedded transient influences. Total magnetic field
(Bt) was rather variable, ranging from nearly 0 nT at 03/1849 UTC to 12
nT at 03/2050 UTC, though it converged on an average of 5 nT by the last
8 hours of the reporting period. The North-South (Bz) component was also
variable, with a maximum southward deflection of -9 nT at 04/0121 UTC.
Wind speeds were much more consistent, averaging approximately 425 km/s
for the first half of the reporting period before decreasing to average
400 km/s for the second half. The phi angle showed a crossing into the
positive (away from the Sun) sector at 03/1630 UTC, where it largely
stayed for the remainder of the reporting period.
.Forecast...
Conditions are anticipated to escalate dramatically mid- to late on 04
June with the arrival of the multiple 03 June CMEs. These significant
enhancements are expected to persist through 05 June with elevated
conditions continuing into 06 June.
Geospace
.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
.Forecast...
Geomagnetic field conditions are anticipated to reach up to G3 (Strong)
geomagnetic storming levels mid- to late on 04 June and persisting into
05 June in response to the multiple CME arrivals. There is a chance for
isolated periods of G4 (Severe) geomagnetic storming during the peak of
the multi-CME passage over 04-05 June. Conditions are expected to drop
to active levels, with a remaining chance for isolated G1 (Minor)
storming thresholds, on 06 June as CME effects gradually wane.
------
73 de Sperry N4SD
N4SD@N4SD.#TIDE.VA.USA.NOAM
Received via NOAA GOES-East satellite downlink
otpoint to fieldline
movement observed in GOES/SUVI 284 and 304 channels, suggesting the
eruption wrapped around the western limb, though this was difficult to
confirm with STEREO imagery due to the faintness of the structure in
that imagery. Modeling indicates there is no Earth-directed component.
.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to be at moderate to high levels through 06
June. M-class (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) flaring remains likely, with a
slight chance for X-class (R3/Strong or greater) events, primarily due
to the eruptive capabilities of Regions 4455, 4458, and 4459.
Energetic Particle
.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at low
to moderate levels, with a peak flux of 745 pfu observed at 03/1755 UTC.
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux at geosynchronous orbit remained at
baseline background levels.
.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
anticipated to rise to high levels on 04 June in response to CME
effects, remaining high through 06 June. While the greater than 10 MeV
proton flux is expected to remain below the S1 threshold, proton
enhancements are possible on 04 June due to CME shock front
interactions.
Solar Wind
.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters continued to be slightly elevated with conditions
reflecting possible embedded transient influences. Total magnetic field
(Bt) was rather variable, ranging from nearly 0 nT at 03/1849 UTC to 12
nT at 03/2050 UTC, though it converged on an average of 5 nT by the last
8 hours of the reporting period. The North-South (Bz) component was also
variable, with a maximum southward deflection of -9 nT at 04/0121 UTC.
Wind speeds were much more consistent, averaging approximately 425 km/s
for the first half of the reporting period before decreasing to average
400 km/s for the second half. The phi angle showed a crossing into the
positive (away from the Sun) sector at 03/1630 UTC, where it largely
stayed for the remainder of the reporting period.
.Forecast...
Conditions are anticipated to escalate dramatically mid- to late on 04
June with the arrival of the multiple 03 June CMEs. These significant
enhancements are expected to persist through 05 June with elevated
conditions continuing into 06 June.
Geospace
.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
.Forecast...
Geomagnetic field conditions are anticipated to reach up to G3 (Strong)
geomagnetic storming levels mid- to late on 04 June and persisting into
05 June in response to the multiple CME arrivals. There is a chance for
isolated periods of G4 (Severe) geomagnetic storming during the peak of
the multi-CME passage over 04-05 June. Conditions are expected to drop
to active levels, with a remaining chance for isolated G1 (Minor)
storming thresholds, on 06 June as CME effects gradually wane.
------
73 de Sperry N4SD
N4SD@N4SD.#TIDE.VA.USA.NOAM
Received via NOAA GOES-East satellite downlink
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