Message:22092 In: SPACWX.USA
From: N4SDDate: Sat, 09 May 26 00:32:00 Z
Newsgroups: SPACWX.USA
Subject: Space Weather Forecast Discussion
Message-ID: <12870_N4SD>
Path: N2MH4|N3MEL|KA3VSP|N4SD
R:260509/2052Z 31032@N2MH4.#SENC.NC.USA.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.24
R:260509/0804Z 16862@N3MEL.#EPA.PA.USA.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.25
R:260509/0753Z 1786@KA3VSP.DE.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.25
R:260509/0032Z 12870@N4SD.#TIDE.VA.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.24
FXXX12 KWNP 090031
DAYDIS
:Product: Forecast Discussion
:Issued: 2026 May 09 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
# Forecast Discussion
#
Solar Activity
.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity returned to low levels this period. Region 4432 (N14W29,
Dai/beta) continued to show signs of development and produced a C4.2
flare at 08/1551 UTC; the strongest of the period. The remaining regions
were either stable or in decay. No Earth-directed CMEs were detected in
available coronagraph imagery.
.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to be at predominately low levels over 09-11
May, with a chance for M-class (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) flares and a
slight chance for an X-class (R3-Strong or greater) flare.
Energetic Particle
.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at normal to moderate levels.
The greater than 10 MeV electron flux was at background levels.
.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is likely to reach high levels on
09-11 May. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to persist at
background levels through 11 May.
Solar Wind
.24 hr Summary...
The solar wind environment was consistent with continued, but waning
positive polarity CH HSS influences. Total magnetic field strength
reached a peak of 19 nT. The Bz component was predominately neutral or
northward throughout the period, with a few readings as far south as -12
nT observed briefly during the first half of the period. Solar wind
speeds increased from a low of around 400 km/s to a peak just over 600
km/s by mid-period. Phiiet and unsettled.
.Forecast...
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on
09-11 May as positive polarity CH HSS influences persist.
------
73 de Sperry N4SD
N4SD@N4SD.#TIDE.VA.USA.NOAM
Received via NOAA iet and unsettled.
.Forecast...
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on
09-11 May as positive polarity CH HSS influences persist.
------
73 de Sperry N4SD
N4SD@N4SD.#TIDE.VA.USA.NOAM
Received via NOAA GOES-East satellite downlink
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