Message:21982 In: SPACWX.USA
From: N4SDDate: Fri, 08 May 26 00:31:00 Z
Newsgroups: SPACWX.USA
Subject: Space Weather Forecast Discussion
Message-ID: <12809_N4SD>
Path: N2MH4|N3MEL|W3ND|N3FUD|KA3VSP|N4SD
R:260508/1458Z 31003@N2MH4.#SENC.NC.USA.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.24
R:260508/0534Z 16822@N3MEL.#EPA.PA.USA.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.25
R:260508/0520Z 28214@W3ND.#EPA.PA.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.25
R:260508/0525Z 7861@N3FUD.#EPA.PA.USA.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.25
R:260508/0521Z 1743@KA3VSP.DE.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.25
R:260508/0031Z 12809@N4SD.#TIDE.VA.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.24
FXXX12 KWNP 080031
DAYDIS
:Product: Forecast Discussion
:Issued: 2026 May 08 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
# Forecast Discussion
#
Solar Activity
.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity reached moderate levels. A source beyond the northeast
limb, likely the return of old Region 4419 (N15, L=316), produced a
long-duration M2.6 flare at 07/1514 UTC, and a long-duration C4.5 flare
at 07/0215 UTC; the largest events of the period. Slight growth was
observed in Region 4432 (N14W14, Cai/beta), and the remaining regions
were either stable or in decay. No Earth-directed CMEs were detected in
available coronagraph imagery.
.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to be at predominately low levels over 08-10
May, with a chance for M-class (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) flares and a
slight chance for an X-class (R3-Strong or greater) flare.
Energetic Particle
.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at normal to moderate levels.
The greater olarity CH HSS influences through 10 May.
Geospace
.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was quiet and unsettled.
.Forecast...
The geomagnetic field is expected to reach active levels on 08-09 May,
and quiet to unsettled levels on antly
neutral or northward throughout the period. Solar wind speeds increased
from a low or around 330 km/s to a peak of around 425 km/s after 07/1500
UTC.
.Forecast...
Solar wind parameters are expected to be enhanced under positive
p10 May, due to positive polarity CH HSS
influences.
------
73 de Sperry N4SD
N4SD@N4SD.#TIDE.VA.USA.NOAM
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