Message:21471 In: SPACWX.USA
From: N4SDDate: Mon, 27 Apr 26 00:31:00 Z
Newsgroups: SPACWX.USA
Subject: Space Weather 3-Day Forecast
Message-ID: <12031_N4SD>
Path: N2MH4|N2MH|K5DAT|K5DAT|WW6Q|N3MEL|KA3VSP|N4SD
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FXXX10 KWNP 270031
DAYTDF
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Apr 27 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
# 3-Day Forecast
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Apr 27-Apr 29 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Apr 27-Apr 29 2026
Apr 27 Apr 28 Apr 29
00-03UT 3.67 2.33 2.00
03-06UT 3.33 2.00 2.33
06-09UT 3.00 1.33 1.67
09-12UT 2.33 1.00 1.33
12-15UT 2.00 1.67 1.00
15-18UT 1.33 1.33 2.67
18-21UT 2.33 1.67 3.00
21-00UT 2.33 2.00 3.33
Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Apr 27-Apr 29 2026
Apr 27 Apr 28 Apr 29
S1 or greater 10% 10% 10%
Rationale: There exists a slight chance for S1 (Minor) or greater solar
radiation storms over the next three days (27-29 Apr).
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
Radio blackouts reaching the R2 levels were observed over the past 24
hours. The largest was at Apr 26 2026 2257 UTC.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Apr 27-Apr 29 2026
Apr 27 Apr 28 Apr 29
R1-R2 55% 55% 55%
R3 or greater 15% 15% 15%
Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts remain likely, with a
slight chance for R3 (Strong), over 27-29 Apr due to the flare potential
from multiple complex regions on the Suns visible disk.
------
73 de Sperry N4SD
N4SD@N4SD.#TIDE.VA.USA.NOAM
Received via NOAA GOES-East satellite downlink
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