Message:20401 In: SPACWX.USA

From: N4SD
Date: Tue, 07 Apr 26 00:32:00 Z
Newsgroups: SPACWX.USA
Subject: Space Weather 3-Day Forecast
Message-ID: <10668_N4SD>
Path: K7EK|N3HYM|KA3VSP|N4SD

R:260407/0356z @:K7EK.#NOKY.KY.USA.NOAM $:10668_N4SD
R:260407/0354Z 59325@N3HYM.#FRDK.MD.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.24
R:260407/0343Z 56682@KA3VSP.DE.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.25
R:260407/0032Z 10668@N4SD.#TIDE.VA.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.24

FXXX10 KWNP 070031
DAYTDF

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Apr 07 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
# 3-Day Forecast
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Apr 07-Apr 09 2026 is 2.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Apr 07-Apr 09 2026

Apr 07 Apr 08 Apr 09
00-03UT 2.67 1.67 1.67
03-06UT 2.67 1.67 1.67
06-09UT 2.67 1.67 1.67
09-12UT 2.67 1.33 1.00
12-15UT 2.33 0.67 0.67
15-18UT 2.33 0.67 1.33
18-21UT 1.67 1.67 1.33
21-00UT 1.33 2.00 1.67

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Apr 07-Apr 09 2026

Apr 07 Apr 08 Apr 09
S1 or greater 10% 10% 10%

Rationale: There is a slight chance for the greater than 10 MeV proton
flux to exceed S1 (Minor) solar radiation storm levels over 07-09 Apr.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Apr 07-Apr 09 2026

Apr 07 Apr 08 Apr 09
R1-R2 40% 40% 40%
R3 or greater 10% 10% 10%

Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts,
with a slight chance for R3 (Strong) or greater events, on 07-09 Apr.

------
73 de Sperry N4SD
N4SD@N4SD.#TIDE.VA.USA.NOAM

Received via NOAA GOES-East satellite downlink





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