Message:20356 In: SPACWX.USA

From: N4SD
Date: Mon, 06 Apr 26 00:31:00 Z
Newsgroups: SPACWX.USA
Subject: Space Weather 3-Day Forecast
Message-ID: <10603_N4SD>
Path: K7EK|VE3CGR|WG0A|KD6MTU|K5DAT|N3MEL|KA3VSP|N4SD

R:260406/0417z @:K7EK.#NOKY.KY.USA.NOAM $:10603_N4SD
R:260406/0416Z 73977@VE3CGR.#SCON.ON.CAN.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.25
R:260406/0416Z 35738@WG0A.#MSP.MN.USA.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.25
R:260406/0415Z 4830@KD6MTU.#NNV.NV.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.25
R:260406/0402Z 31042@K5DAT.#NEWI.WI.USA.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.25
R:260406/0400Z 15223@N3MEL.#EPA.PA.USA.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.25
R:260406/0351Z 56640@KA3VSP.DE.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.25
R:260406/0031Z 10603@N4SD.#TIDE.VA.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.24

FXXX10 KWNP 060031
DAYTDF

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Apr 06 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
# 3-Day Forecast
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Apr 06-Apr 08 2026 is 3.00 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Apr 06-Apr 08 2026

Apr 06 Apr 07 Apr 08
00-03UT 2.67 2.67 1.67
03-06UT 3.00 2.67 1.67
06-09UT 2.67 2.67 1.67
09-12UT 2.67 2.00 1.33
12-15UT 2.00 0.67 0.67
15-18UT 1.67 0.67 0.67
18-21UT 1.67 1.67 1.67
21-00UT 2.67 2.67 2.00

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Apr 06-Apr 08 2026

Apr 06 Apr 07 Apr 08
S1 or greater 15% 15% 15%

Rationale: There is a slight chance for the greater than 10 MeV proton
flux to exceed S1 (Minor) solar radiation storm levels over 06-08 Apr.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Apr 06-Apr 08 2026

Apr 06 Apr 07 Apr 08
R1-R2 55% 55% 55%
R3 or greater 15% 15% 15%

Rationale: R1 (Minor) radio blackout levels are likely, with a slight
chance for an isolated R3 (Strong) event over 06-08 Apr, driven
primarily by the flare potential of Region 4409.

------
73 de Sperry N4SD
N4SD@N4SD.#TIDE.VA.USA.NOAM

Received via NOAA GOES-East satellite downlink





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