Message:18527 In: SPACWX.USA

From: N4SD
Date: Tue, 10 Mar 26 00:32:00 Z
Newsgroups: SPACWX.USA
Subject: Space Weather 3-Day Forecast
Message-ID: <8740_N4SD>
Path: N2MH4|N3MEL|KA3VSP|N4SD

R:260310/0211Z 28814@N2MH4.#SENC.NC.USA.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.24
R:260310/0211Z 13047@N3MEL.#EPA.PA.USA.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.25
R:260310/0208Z 55330@KA3VSP.DE.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.25
R:260310/0032Z 8740@N4SD.#TIDE.VA.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.24

FXXX10 KWNP 100031
DAYTDF

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 10 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
# 3-Day Forecast
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 10-Mar 12 2026 is 2.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 10-Mar 12 2026

Mar 10 Mar 11 Mar 12
00-03UT 2.67 1.67 1.67
03-06UT 2.67 1.33 1.33
06-09UT 2.33 1.33 1.33
09-12UT 2.00 1.33 1.33
12-15UT 1.00 1.33 1.33
15-18UT 1.00 1.33 1.67
18-21UT 1.67 1.67 1.33
21-00UT 2.00 1.67 1.67

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 10-Mar 12 2026

Mar 10 Mar 11 Mar 12
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 10-Mar 12 2026

Mar 10 Mar 11 Mar 12
R1-R2 20% 20% 20%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: There exists a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts over 10-12 Mar.

------
73 de Sperry N4SD
N4SD@N4SD.#TIDE.VA.USA.NOAM

Received via NOAA GOES-East satellite downlink






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