Message:18336 In: SPACWX.USA
From: N4SDDate: Fri, 06 Mar 26 12:32:00 Z
Newsgroups: SPACWX.USA
Subject: Space Weather 3-Day Forecast
Message-ID: <8430_N4SD>
Path: N2MH4|N3MEL|W3ND|N3FUD|N3IP|KA3VSP|N4SD
R:260306/1254Z 28709@N2MH4.#SENC.NC.USA.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.24
R:260306/1251Z 12827@N3MEL.#EPA.PA.USA.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.25
R:260306/1245Z 24301@W3ND.#EPA.PA.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.25
R:260306/1249Z 2639@N3FUD.#EPA.PA.USA.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.25
R:260306/1248Z 63383@N3IP.#SEPA.PA.USA.NOAM BPQK6.0.24
R:260306/1241Z 55174@KA3VSP.DE.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.25
R:260306/1232Z 8430@N4SD.#TIDE.VA.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.24
FXXX10 KWNP 061231
DAYTDF
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 06 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
# 3-Day Forecast
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 06-Mar 08 2026 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale
G1).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 06-Mar 08 2026
Mar 06 Mar 07 Mar 08
00-03UT 1.00 3.67 4.00
03-06UT 2.67 3.33 2.00
06-09UT 1.67 2.00 2.00
09-12UT 1.67 1.67 2.00
12-15UT 3.67 3.00 2.67
15-18UT 4.00 3.33 2.67
18-21UT 4.67 (G1) 3.67 2.67
21-00UT 4.33 3.33 3.00
Rationale: Isolated G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are possible on 06 Mar
due to the anticipated arrival of a CIR associated with a negative
polarity coronal hole high speed stream.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 06-Mar 08 2026
Mar 06 Mar 07 Mar 08
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 06-Mar 08 2026
Mar 06 Mar 07 Mar 08
R1-R2 20% 20% 20%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: There is a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts through 08 Mar.
------
73 de Sperry N4SD
N4SD@N4SD.#TIDE.VA.USA.NOAM
Received via NOAA GOES-East satellite downlink
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