Message:18323 In: SPACWX.USA

From: N4SD
Date: Fri, 06 Mar 26 00:31:00 Z
Newsgroups: SPACWX.USA
Subject: Space Weather 3-Day Forecast
Message-ID: <8403_N4SD>
Path: N2MH4|N3MEL|W3ND|N3FUD|N3IP|KA3VSP|N4SD

R:260306/0436Z 28697@N2MH4.#SENC.NC.USA.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.24
R:260306/0432Z 12811@N3MEL.#EPA.PA.USA.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.25
R:260306/0427Z 24286@W3ND.#EPA.PA.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.25
R:260306/0431Z 2608@N3FUD.#EPA.PA.USA.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.25
R:260306/0430Z 63362@N3IP.#SEPA.PA.USA.NOAM BPQK6.0.24
R:260306/0425Z 55162@KA3VSP.DE.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.25
R:260306/0031Z 8403@N4SD.#TIDE.VA.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.24

FXXX10 KWNP 060031
DAYTDF

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 06 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
# 3-Day Forecast
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 06-Mar 08 2026 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 06-Mar 08 2026

Mar 06 Mar 07 Mar 08
00-03UT 2.00 3.67 4.00
03-06UT 2.33 3.33 2.00
06-09UT 3.33 2.00 2.00
09-12UT 3.33 1.67 2.00
12-15UT 3.67 3.00 2.67
15-18UT 4.00 3.33 2.67
18-21UT 4.67 (G1) 3.67 2.67
21-00UT 4.33 3.33 3.00

Rationale: Isolated G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are possible on 06 Mar
due to the anticipated arrival of a CIR associated with a negative
polarity coronal hole high speed stream.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 06-Mar 08 2026

Mar 06 Mar 07 Mar 08
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.


C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 06-Mar 08 2026

Mar 06 Mar 07 Mar 08
R1-R2 20% 20% 20%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: There is a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts through 08 Mar.

------
73 de Sperry N4SD
N4SD@N4SD.#TIDE.VA.USA.NOAM

Received via NOAA GOES-East satellite downlink






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