Message:22408 In: WX.USA
From: KF5JRVDate: Fri, 15 May 26 09:09:00 Z
Newsgroups: WX.USA
Subject: NWS USA WX Forecast - May 15
Message-ID: <25498_KF5JRV>
Path: N2MH4|N2MH|K5DAT|K5DAT|W0ARP|KF5JRV
R:260515/0919Z 31233@N2MH4.#SENC.NC.USA.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.24
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R:260515/0909Z 25498@KF5JRV.#NWAR.AR.USA.NA BPQ6.0.24
Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
400 AM EDT Fri May 15 2026
Valid 12Z Fri May 15 2026 - 12Z Sun May 17 2026
..Enhanced risk of severe thunderstorms across much of Iowa with
a slight risk extending down to the Oklahoma and Texas Panhandles
for today and tonight...
..Next round of strong to severe thunderstorms forecast for the
northern Plains Saturday night into Sunday morning...
..Heat builds across the central Plains as cool and unsettled
weather spreads into the Pacific Northwest and northern Rockies...
A nearly stationary front extending across the midsection of he
country will be the focus for rounds of strong to severe
thunderstorms through the next couple of days. A weak warm front
lifting northward will interact with the stationary front and
enhance thunderstorm development in the vicinity of Iowa
especially by late afternoon into this evening. Thunderstorms
could also become severe farther southwest across the central
Plains to the Oklahoma and Texas Panhandles especially later today
and tonight. Temperatures across the central to southern Plains
soaring well into the 90s to the 100s will add fuel to the
thunderstorms. Some of these high temperatures could break daily
records for some locations.
Rain across New England will make for a cool and damp start for
today. As the associated upper low begins to move offshore, the
rain is forecast to taper off as the day progresses. A high
pressure system behind the departing upper low will bring cool and
fine weather for the remainder of the East Coast today but the
heat over the midsection of the country will spread eastward,
warming the high temperatures into the 80s for much of the East
Coast on Saturday. Temperatures in New England will also recover
into the 70s and 80s on Saturday before showers and embedded
thunderstorms arrive later on Saturday before they gradually taper
off by Sunday morning ahead of a cold front.
Meanwhile, cool and increasingly unsettled weather is forecast for
the Pacific Northwest, gradually spreading into the northern
Rockies as the weekend progresses. This is in response to the
arrival of the next upper trough along with the passage of a cold
front. Rain will be spreading farther inland with high elevation
snow/mixed precipitation for the interior Pacific reaching into
the northern Rockies early on Sunday. Winds will be gusty as a
low pressure system begins to expand and develop over the northern
and central High Plains early on Sunday. This developing low
pressure system will also trigger a somewhat more widespread round
of strong to severe thunderstorms across the northern Plains
Saturday night, reaching into the upper Midwest early on Sunday.
Kong
Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php
73 de Scott KF5JRVPmail: KF5JRV@KF5JRV.#NWAR.AR.USA.NAEmail KF5JRV@gmail.com
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