Message:19786 In: WX.USA

From: KF5JRV
Date: Sun, 29 Mar 26 08:46:00 Z
Newsgroups: WX.USA
Subject: NWS USA WX Forecast - Mar 29
Message-ID: <22300_KF5JRV>
Path: K7EK|VE3CGR|KF5JRV

R:260329/0853z @:K7EK.#NOKY.KY.USA.NOAM $:22300_KF5JRV
R:260329/0849Z 72993@VE3CGR.#SCON.ON.CAN.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.25
R:260329/0846Z 22300@KF5JRV.#NWAR.AR.USA.NA BPQ6.0.24


Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
404 AM EDT Sun Mar 29 2026

Valid 12Z Sun Mar 29 2026 - 12Z Tue Mar 31 2026

..A rapid warm-up is in the forecast for early next week across
the central and eastern U.S. ...

..Anomalously warm and dry conditions raise fire weather concerns
across portions of the Inter-Mountain West, the Plains, and the
central Appalachians...

..Severe weather and flash flooding chances will occur along a
stationary boundary across the Upper Midwest, Great Lakes, and the
upper Northeast early week...

As an area of high pressure slides off the East Coast today, it
will result in a change of wind direction to broad southerly flow
and bring with it a rapid warming trend across the eastern
two-thirds of the country. Meanwhile, a deepening upper trough
will bring a cold front into the Pacific Northwest Sunday into
Monday, spreading cooler and unsettled weather. In between these
two systems, a frontal wave is forming along a stationary boundary
draped across the northern Plains.

Today will feature a modifying air mass across the south and
eastern U.S. as an area of high pressure begins to move offshore
the east coast. Overall, it should be a spectacular day for Sunday
fun day plans from Atlanta to Boston as high temperatures in the
South reach the upper 60s to low 70s and the Northeast warms
temperatures in the seasonably cool 50s and 60s. The warmth will
begin to really be felt for the start of the work week with
widespread 70s across the east coast on Monday and then low 80s
for many on Tuesday. Low temperatures will also begin to rise into
the 50s as a result of a return to southerly flow at the surface.
For Sunday and Monday, the Plains will the be the warmest part of
the country with abundant 80s approaching 90 in some locations.
The Northwest will be on the chiller side with highs in the 40s
and 50s along the coasts and valleys and cooler conditions in
higher terrain.

The lack of moisture in the vicinity combined with downsloping
winds from the Rockies will bring anomalously warm and dry
conditions into the central Plains through the next couple of
days. Fire weather concerns across the north-central U.S. today
will be a result of warm to hot temperatures well up into the 80s
and a few low 90s, combined with some gusty winds and low relative
humidities. Much of this area into the northern Rockies are under
Red Flag Warnings. A lower, but still Elevated risk for fire
weather is also in place for the central Appalachians with a dry
air mass in place.

An increase in moisture and warmth will pool along a stationary
boundary draped across the northern Plains, Great Lakes, and
upstate New York to New England. Thunderstorms are likely to form
late Monday along the boundary in the upper Midwest and Great
Lakes and bring a Marginal Risk for severe weather. Hazards will
be large hail and gusty winds. On Tuesday, a Marginal Risk for
Excessive Rainfall was hoisted from Indiana northeastward to New
England as training rain bands along a front could produce some
flash flood concerns.

Lastly, South Florida will see a windy and wet afternoon today
courtesy of a cold front in the region. A more typical Spring
pattern will resume for the state by Monday as the front begins to
wash out.


Wilder


Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php




73 de Scott KF5JRV

Pmail: KF5JRV@KF5JRV.#NWAR.AR.USA.NA
Email KF5JRV@gmail.com





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