Message:21801 In: SPACWX.USA

From: N4SD
Date: Sun, 03 May 26 06:09:00 Z
Newsgroups: SPACWX.USA
Subject: cast Discussion
Message-ID: <12457_N4SD>
Path: N2MH4

R:260503/0609Z 30848@N2MH4.#SENC.NC.USA.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.24

:Issued: 2026 May 03 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
# Forecast Discussion
#
Solar Activity

.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity was at low levels. An impulsive C8.7 flare at 02/1838 UTC
from Region 4420 (N16, L=228), now beyond the northwest limb, was the
largest of the period. Minor growth was observed in Regions 4428
(S23W39, Dai/beta), 4429 (S04E06, Dsi/beta), and 4431 (S16E38,
Dso/beta), while the remaining regions were either stable or in decay.
No Earth-directed CMEs were observed in available coronagraph imagery.

.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to be at low levels with a chance for
M-flares (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) on 03-05 May.

Energetic Particle

.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at normal to moderate levels.
The greater netic field was at quiet to unsettled levels in response to
negative polarity CH HSS influences.

.Forecast...
The geomagnetic field is expected to reach active levels on 03 May, with
quiet to unsettled levels expected on 04-05 May, as than 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels.

.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to be at normal to
moderate levels on 03-05 May. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is
expected to remain at background levels through 05 May.

Solar Wind

.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters remained consistent with ongoing negative polarity
CH HSS influences. Total field strength reached a peak of 6 nT, and the
Bz component briefly reached -4 nT. Solnegative polarity CH
HSS influences slowly wane.

------
73 de Sperry N4SD
N4SD@N4SD.#TIDE.VA.USA.NOAM

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