Message:18685 In: NEWS.WW
From: LU9DCEDate: Thu, 12 Mar 26 09:16:00 Z
Newsgroups: NEWS.WW
Subject: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 12-MAR
Message-ID: <9030_LU9DCE>
Path: GB7RJJ|GB7YEW|LU9DCE
R:260312/0917Z 9679@GB7RJJ.#79.GBR.EURO LinBPQ6.0.25
R:260312/0916Z 15350@GB7YEW.#79.GBR.EURO LinBPQ6.0.24
R:260312/0916Z 9030@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.25
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PYTHON SCHEDULED NEWSLETTERS (PSN)
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SPC TORNADO WATCH 49
WW 49 TORNADO AL FL GA CW 120430Z - 121200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 49
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1230 AM EDT THU MAR 12 2026
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN AND EASTERN ALABAMA
FLORIDA PANHANDLE
WESTERN AND CENTRAL GEORGIA
COASTAL WATERS
* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING FROM 1230 AM UNTIL 800 AM EDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...A BAND OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH EMBEDDED
CELLS AND BOWING SEGMENTS WILL CONTINUE EAST ACROSS THE WATCH DURING
THE OVERNIGHT AND INTO THE EARLY MORNING. LOW TO MID-LEVEL FLOW IS
FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN COINCIDENT WITH GRADUAL MOISTENING AND
DESTABILIZATION OF THE AIRMASS. THE ENVIRONMENT WILL SUPPORT A
CONTINUATION OF STORM ORGANIZATION AND AN ACCOMPANYING THREAT FOR
SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND A TORNADO RISK WITH THE MORE
INTENSE EMBEDDED CELLS WITHIN THE LINE.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100 STATUTE MILES
EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES NORTHEAST OF LA GRANGE GA TO
45 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FL. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE
WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 48...
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN
STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.
..SMITH
READ MORE
========================================
SPC TORNADO WATCH 49 STATUS REPORTS
WW 0049 STATUS UPDATES
STATUS REPORT ON WW 49
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 S MOB TO
30 ENE GZH TO 25 WNW AUO TO 35 W ATL.
.DEAN..03/12/26
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...FFC...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 49
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC005-011-017-031-039-041-045-061-067-069-081-087-109-113-
120840-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBOUR BULLOCK CHAMBERS
COFFEE COVINGTON CRENSHAW
DALE GENEVA HENRY
HOUSTON LEE MACON
PIKE RUSSELL
FLC005-013-033-039-045-059-063-077-091-113-131-133-120840-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN ESCAMBIA
GADSDEN GULF HOLMES
JACKSON LIBERTY OKALOOSA
SANTA ROSA WALTON WASHINGTON
GAC007-009-021-023-035-037-053-061-063-077-079-081-087-093-095-
READ MORE
========================================
SPC TORNADO WATCH 48 STATUS REPORTS
WW 0048 STATUS UPDATES
STATUS REPORT ON WW 48
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSE HUM
TO 40 N BVE TO 25 NE MOB TO 30 W GZH TO 20 S SEM TO 40 NNW MGM.
.DEAN..03/12/26
ATTN...WFO...MOB...BMX...LIX...JAN...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 48
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC075-120740-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
PLAQUEMINES
GMZ532-536-538-632-120740-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
CHANDELEUR SOUND
BRETON SOUND
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
READ MORE
========================================
SPC MD 229
MD 0229 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 49... FOR PARTS OF THE FL
PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST/EAST-CENTRAL AL...WESTERN/CENTRAL GA
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0229
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0326 AM CDT THU MAR 12 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF THE FL PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST/EAST-CENTRAL
AL...WESTERN/CENTRAL GA
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 49...
VALID 120826Z - 121000Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 49 CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...SOME INCREASE IN WIND-DAMAGE AND EMBEDDED TORNADO
POTENTIAL IS POSSIBLE THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING.
DISCUSSION...AT 0825 UTC, A LONG-LIVED QLCS REMAINS RELATIVELY
VIGOROUS FROM SOUTHEAST AL INTO WEST-CENTRAL GA. RECENT OBSERVED
WIND GUSTS HAVE GENERALLY BEEN SUBSEVERE, THOUGH MESOVORTICES HAVE
BEEN NOTED ALONG THE LINE FROM THE KMXX AND KEOX RADARS, WITH SOME
EVIDENCE OF EMBEDDED SUPERCELL STRUCTURES. MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE
RELATIVELY WEAK (AS SAMPLED BY THE 06Z FFC SOUNDING), BUT RICH
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE IS SUPPORTING MLCAPE OF GENERALLY 500-1000 J/KG
(GREATER WITH SOUTHWEST EXTENT). A VIGOROUS MID/UPPER-LEVEL
SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT WIDESPREAD CONVECTION
THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING AS IT MOVES QUICKLY EASTWARD ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST.
STRONG DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT ORGANIZED
CONVECTION, AND A NOTABLE INCREASE IN LOW-LEVEL FLOW HAS RECENTLY
BEEN OBSERVED FROM THE KEOX VWP. WHILE THE WIND PROFILE IS
RELATIVELY UNIDIRECTIONAL, RATHER STRONG OBSERVED SURFACE PRESSURE
FALLS (2-3 MB/2 HOURS) MAY ALLOW FOR SOME BACKING OF WINDS IN
ADVANCE OF THE LINE. EVEN WHERE SURFACE WINDS REMAIN VEERED,
LOW-LEVEL SHEAR/SRH WILL REMAIN SUFFICIENT FOR SOME TORNADO
POTENTIAL, ESPECIALLY WITH ANY EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS. OTHERWISE,
DAMAGING-WIND POTENTIAL MAY INCREASE WITH TIME ALONG THE LINE, IN
CONJUNCTION WITH THE STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL FLOW.
.DEAN.. 03/12/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...
LAT...LON 30188585 30298663 30258688 30318698 31488595 32598530
33428482 33708463 33918401 33958291 31868416 30178531
30188585
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
READ MORE
========================================
SPC MAR 12, 2026 0600 UTC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
SPC 1200Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1231 AM CDT THU MAR 12 2026
VALID 121200Z - 131200Z
..THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE SOUTHEAST...
..SUMMARY...
ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS
ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST THIS MORNING INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON.
A TORNADO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT EARLY WITH THIS ACTIVITY.
SOUTHEAST: A WELL-DEVELOPED SQUALL LINE HAS EVOLVED AHEAD OF A
PRONOUNCED LOW-LATITUDE SHORT-WAVE TROUGH. THIS LINE OF CONVECTION
CURRENTLY EXTENDS ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF STATES AND IS ADVANCING
STEADILY EAST IN LINE WITH LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE. EARLY-MORNING
WATER-VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS A SHORT WAVE THAT IS BECOMING A BIT MORE
NEGATIVE-TILT AS IT APPROACHES THE LOWER MS VALLEY. THIS FEATURE
WILL EJECT INTO AL BY THE START OF THE DAY1 PERIOD WITH SUBSTANTIAL
MIDLEVEL HEIGHT FALLS FORECAST ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHEAST EARLY IN
THE PERIOD. UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S SURFACE DEW POINTS HAVE RETURNED
INLAND ACROSS THE FL PANHANDLE AND SOUTHERN AL, AND A NARROW WEDGE
OF MODIFIED GULF AIR SHOULD BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE EASTERN FL
PANHANDLE INTO EXTREME SOUTHWEST GA AT SUNRISE. CURRENT TRENDS
SUGGEST THE LEADING EDGE OF STRONG/SEVERE CONVECTION WILL PROPAGATE
INTO THIS PORTION OF THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 12Z. STRONG DEEP-LAYER
SHEAR FAVORS ORGANIZED UPDRAFTS AND GIVEN THE LARGE-SCALE SUPPORT
AHEAD OF THE TROUGH, ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN ORGANIZED AT THE START
OF THE PERIOD. SOME CONSIDERATION WAS GIVEN TO INCREASING SEVERE
PROBABILITIES FOR A NARROW WEDGE IMMEDIATELY AHEAD OF THE FRONT FOR
EARLY IN THE PERIOD. IF THE SQUALL LINE CONTINUES SEVERE THIS MAY BE
WARRANTED AT 13Z. LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND PERHAPS A TORNADO ARE
THE EXPECTED HAZARDS.
ISOLATED STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY ALSO DEVELOP ALONG THE
PROGRESSIVE FRONT AS IT SPREADS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS.
SEVERE THREAT IS PRIMARILY BEFORE 18Z, AS THE COLD FRONT WILL SURGE
OFF THE CAROLINA COAST BY THIS TIME.
NORTHERN PLAINS: STRONG MIDLEVEL JET WILL DIG SOUTHEAST ACROSS MT
INTO SD WITH 500MB SPEEDS EXPECTED IN EXCESS OF 120KT INTO THE
NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS. AB CLIPPER WILL DIG SOUTHEAST INTO THE UPPER
RED RIVER REGION BY LATE AFTERNOON AND NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL
STRENGTHEN ACROSS THIS REGION AS THE CYCLONE SHIFTS EAST. FORECAST
SOUNDINGS SUGGEST WEAK BUOYANCY WILL EVOLVE SOUTH OF THE FRONT
ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS SUCH THAT SHALLOW CONVECTION IS EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP, ALONG WITH THE THREAT OF SOME LIGHTNING. WHILE STRONG
WINDS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ACROSS EASTERN MT INTO SD AS LAPSE RATES
STEEPEN, THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE THE PRIMARY DRIVER OF
SEVERE WIND GUSTS. FOR THIS REASON SEVERE PROBABILITIES WILL NOT BE
INTRODUCED.
.DARROW/HALBERT.. 03/12/2026
READ MORE
========================================
SPC MAR 12, 2026 0600 UTC DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
SPC 0600Z DAY 2 OUTLOOK
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1212 AM CDT THU MAR 12 2026
VALID 131200Z - 141200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
..SUMMARY...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED ON FRIDAY.
..SYNOPSIS...
A DIFFUSE SURFACE BOUNDARY WILL RESIDE ACROSS CENTRAL FL ON FRIDAY.
TO THE SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY, A SEASONALLY WARM AND MOIST AIRMASS
WILL BE IN PLACE. THIS WILL SUPPORT MODEST DESTABILIZATION DURING
THE AFTERNOON, AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP, MAINLY ACROSS
SOUTH FL. POOR LAPSE RATES, WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR, AND A LACK OF
FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL PRECLUDE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
.LEITMAN.. 03/12/2026
READ MORE
========================================
SPC MAR 12, 2026 0730 UTC DAY 3 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
SPC 0730Z DAY 3 OUTLOOK
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0141 AM CDT THU MAR 12 2026
VALID 141200Z - 151200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
..SUMMARY...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED ON SATURDAY.
..SYNOPSIS...
A POTENT UPPER TROUGH WILL DIG SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE ROCKIES ON
SATURDAY, EMERGING OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS TO SOUTHERN ROCKIES BY
SUNDAY MORNING. IN RESPONSE TO SHARP HEIGHT FALLS, A DEEPENING
SURFACE CYCLONE OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS WILL DEVELOP EASTWARD
THROUGH THE PERIOD, BECOMING ORIENTED OVER THE LOWER MO VALLEY
SUNDAY MORNING. A PRIOR COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE DEEP INTO THE GULF WILL
RESULT IN ONLY MODEST MOISTURE RETURN NORTHWARD ACROSS THE
SOUTH-CENTRAL U.S., WITH ANY DEEPER BOUNDARY-LAYER MOISTURE
REMAINING MOSTLY OFFSHORE, AND ACROSS SOUTH TX. GIVEN THIS DRY
AIRMASS AHEAD OF THE SURFACE LOW AND ASSOCIATED TRAILING COLD FRONT
MOVING ACROSS THE PLAINS, LITTLE INSTABILITY IS FORECAST AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE UNLIKELY THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY ACROSS MUCH OF THE
WARM SECTOR OVER THE SOUTH-CENTRAL U.S.
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTH FL WHERE A
SEASONALLY WARM/MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL RESIDE. LARGE-SCALE
ASCENT WILL REMAIN NEBULOUS, BUT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS COULD
DEVELOP ALONG THE SEA BREEZE ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST PENINSULA. WEAK
VERTICAL SHEAR AND POOR LAPSE RATES WILL PRECLUDE SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
.LEITMAN.. 03/12/2026
READ MORE
========================================
SPC MAR 12, 2026 DAY 4-8 SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
DAY 4-8 OUTLOOK
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0315 AM CDT THU MAR 12 2026
VALID 151200Z - 201200Z
..DISCUSSION...
..DAY 4/SUNDAY - ARKLATEX/LOWER MS VALLEY INTO THE MIDDLE MS/LOWER
OH VALLEYS...
AN INTENSE UPPER TROUGH WILL DEEPEN OVER THE PLAINS AND SHIFT EAST
TO THE MS VALLEY ON SUNDAY. FROM LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE NIGHTTIME
HOURS, AN 80-100 KT JET STREAK WILL DEVELOP WITHIN THE BASE OF THE
TROUGH AND OVERSPREAD PORTIONS OF THE REGION. AT THE SURFACE, AN
ALREADY STRONG CYCLONE WILL DEEPEN FURTHER AS IT MOVES FROM THE
LOWER MO VALLEY TO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES VICINITY. AS THIS OCCURS, A
STRONG COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP EASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND
MUCH OF THE MIDWEST AND SOUTHERN U.S., BECOMING ORIENTED FROM OHIO
TO THE FL PANHANDLE BY MONDAY MORNING.
WHILE STRENGTHENING SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF
THE FRONT, STRONGER GULF MOISTURE RETURN WILL BE CONFINED TO TX AND
THE LOWER MS VALLEY VICINITY, WITH MAINLY 50S DEWPOINTS EXPECTED
WITH NORTHWARD EXTENT ACROSS THE MIDDLE MS AND OH VALLEY REGIONS.
FURTHERMORE, CAPPING IS EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT,
POTENTIALLY LIMITING WARM SECTOR CONVECTION. NEVERTHELESS, MODEST
MOISTURE AND STEEPENING MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL SUPPORT AT LEAST
WEAK DESTABILIZATION VERY NEAR THE COLD FRONT. A NARROW LINE OF
STRONGLY-FORCED CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE COLD
FRONT AND MOVE ACROSS PORTIONS OF OK/TX INTO THE MIDDLE/LOWER MS AND
LOWER OH/TN VALLEY REGIONS. GIVEN INTENSE DEEP-LAYER FLOW NEAR AND
JUST BEHIND THE COLD FRONT, STRONG/DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL WILL
EXIST WITHIN A MODEST INSTABILITY/HIGH SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. A 15
PERCENT SEVERE DELINEATION HAS BEEN INCLUDED FROM THE ARKLATEX INTO
THE MID-SOUTH/LOWER MS VALLEY VICINITY. DEPENDING ON LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE/INSTABILITY TRENDS, THIS AREA MAY NEED TO BE EXPANDED NORTH
AND EAST INTO A LARGER PORTION OF THE MIDDLE MS/LOWER OH/TN VALLEY
VICINITY IN SUBSEQUENT OUTLOOKS.
..DAY 5/MONDAY - SOUTHEAST TO MID-ATLANTIC...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL WILL LIKELY CONTINUE INTO MONDAY AS
THE INTENSE UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES TO MIGRATE EAST FROM THE MS
VALLEY TOWARD THE EASTERN SEABOARD. INTENSE DEEP-LAYER SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW WILL OVERSPREAD PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST TO THE MID-ATLANTIC.
MEANWHILE, 60S F DEWPOINTS WILL EXTEND FROM SOUTHEAST GA NORTHWARD
THROUGH THE MID-ATLANTIC AHEAD OF A SHARP COLD FRONT. PRE-FRONTAL
SURFACE TROUGHING ACROSS THE VA/NC PIEDMONT ALSO WILL SUPPORT
BACKING LOW-LEVEL WINDS, LEADING TO ENHANCED LOW-LEVEL SHEAR.
DEPENDING ON HOW MUCH CLOUD COVER AND WARM ADVECTION PRECIPITATION
OCCURS AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT, STRONGER DESTABILIZATION MAY BE
INHIBITED. NEVERTHELESS, AT LEAST WEAK INSTABILITY IS FORECAST AHEAD
OF A STRONGLY FORCED LINE OF CONVECTION ALONG THE EASTWARD-ADVANCING
COLD FRONT. THIS ACTIVITY ALONE COULD PRODUCE A SWATH OF STRONG TO
SEVERE WIND GUSTS. A MORE CONDITIONAL RISK OF SUPERCELLS ACROSS THE
WARM SECTOR EXISTS ACROSS EASTERN VA/NC, BUT THIS IS MORE UNCERTAIN.
GIVEN DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL WITH THE STRONGLY FORCED LINEAR
CONVECTION, A 15 PERCENT SEVERE DELINEATION HAS BEEN ADDED FOR
PORTIONS OF THE REGION.
..DAYS 6-8/TUESDAY-THURSDAY...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL WILL BE LOW TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
AS STRONG SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN THE WAKE OF THE EARLIER
COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE. A DRY/STABLE AIRMASS WILL PREVAIL AS GULF
MOISTURE REMAINS WELL OFFSHORE.
READ MORE
========================================
SPC DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
SPC DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0127 AM CDT THU MAR 12 2026
VALID 121200Z - 131200Z
..CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS...
..SYNOPSIS...
CRITICAL FIRE-WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TODAY AS A STRONG AND
DEEPENING SURFACE CYCLONE ASSOCIATED WITH AN INTENSE 100+ KT
MID-LEVEL JET MOVES FROM THE NORTHERN GREAT PLAINS INTO THE UPPER
MIDWEST, WITH AN EXPANSIVE WIND FIELD BRINGING DRY AND BREEZY
CONDITIONS TO THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN GREAT PLAINS.
..CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN GREAT PLAINS...
STRONG WEST-NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT AND DEEP BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING
WILL RESULT IN DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL
AND SOUTHERN GREAT PLAINS. WITH THE WINDS HAVING A STRONG DOWNSLOPE
COMPONENT, WIDESPREAD RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 10-15% WILL OVERLAP WITH
WINDS OF 25-35 MPH. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR ACROSS NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA (CLOSER TO THE SURFACE LOW), PRIMARILY
ACROSS WYOMING AND NEBRASKA REACHING 35-40 MPH. HOWEVER, THESE
STRONGER WINDS WILL OCCUR WITH RELATIVELY HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITY
(25-35%) AND FUELS THAT HAVE RECEIVED SOME RECENT WETTING RAINFALL.
IN THE SOUTHERN PLAINS, WINDS WILL BE GENERALLY WEAKER AROUND 25 MPH
BUT WITH SIGNIFICANTLY DRIER SURFACE CONDITIONS AT AROUND 10%
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND CRITICALLY DRY FUELS.
.HALBERT.. 03/12/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
READ MORE
========================================
SPC DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
SPC DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0128 AM CDT THU MAR 12 2026
VALID 131200Z - 141200Z
..SYNOPSIS...
DRY AND BREEZY DOWNSLOPE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO RETURN TO THE CENTRAL
AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS ON FRIDAY AS DEEP BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING
TRANSPORTS STRONG WEST-NORTHWESTERLY FLOW FROM ALOFT TO THE SURFACE.
WIDESPREAD WINDS OF 15-20 MPH AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 10-15% IS
EXPECTED TO OVERLAP WITH DRY AND RECEPTIVE FUELS. LOCALLY CRITICAL
CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR WHERE FAVORED BY TOPOGRAPHY, BUT UNCERTAINTY IN
THE MAGNITUDE AND DURATION OF THESE STRONGER WINDS PRECLUDES
CRITICAL HIGHLIGHTS AT THIS TIME.
.HALBERT.. 03/12/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
READ MORE
========================================
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