Message 29470 in STORM.WW
From: HP2DFA
Date: Sun, 06 Sep 26 01:44:00 Z
Newsgroups: STORM.WW
Subject: 7 DAY TROPICAL OUTLOOK C. AMERICA SEP05
Message-ID: <1594_HP2DFA>
Path: N2MH4|GB7BED|VA2RIZ|HP2DFA
R:260906/0316Z 36719@N2MH4.#SENC.NC.USA.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.24
R:260906/0315Z 17153@GB7BED.#21.GBR.EU LinBPQ6.0.25
R:260906/0314Z 7470@VA2RIZ.#LAN.QC.CAN.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.25
R:260906/0144Z 1594@HP2DFA.#COL.PAN.CEAM BPQ6.0.24
The updated 7-day tropical outlook from the NOAA National Hurricane Center (NHC) confirms an extremely active Eastern Pacific basin contrasted by a completely quiet Caribbean and North Atlantic side. While powerful systems dominate the open Pacific waters, none present a direct land threat to Central America, though regional moisture levels will remain highly volatile. [1, 2]
The official 7-day forecast breaks down as follows:
## 🌊 Caribbean Sea & North Atlantic (Vertiente del Caribe)
*
* Status: No tropical cyclone formation is expected over the next 7 days. [1]
* Current Environment: Driven by strong El Niño conditions and elevated wind shear, storm development across the Atlantic and Caribbean is severely suppressed. The basin remains clear of depressions or hurricanes. [1, 3, 4]
* Impact on Central America: The region remains free of cyclone threats. However, regular seasonal Easterly Waves (ondas tropicales) will continue to cross the basin, bringing typical afternoon showers and thunderstorms to the Caribbean coasts of Panama, Costa Rica, and Nicaragua. [1]
*
------------------------------
## 🗺️ Summary Table: 7-Day Cyclone Formation Probability
| Basin Region | Active Cyclones | 7-Day New Formation Potential | Direct Threat to Central America? |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caribbean / Atlantic | None | 0aLow) | No (Only typical seasonal rain waves) |
| Eastern Pacific | Marie, Lowell, Karina | 40aMedium — Offshore Mexico) | No Landfalls (Indirect moisture pull) |
Sistema de Monitoreo de Alertas Meteorologicas de Panama
PCARA - Grupo Digital C4FM Panama
www.pcara.net - www.c4fmpanama.org
HP2DFA@HP2DFA.COL.PA.CEAM
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