KO4YAW Read Bulletin

Message 23364 in SPACWX.USA

From: N4SD
Date: Mon, 01 Jun 26 00:32:00 Z
Newsgroups: SPACWX.USA
Subject: Space Weather 3-Day Forecast
Message-ID: <14823_N4SD>
Path: N2MH4|N2MH|NS2B|N3IP|KA3VSP|N4SD

R:260601/0243Z 31834@N2MH4.#SENC.NC.USA.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.24
R:260601/0242z @:N2MH.#NNJ.NJ.USA.NOAM [via AREDN Mesh] jnos 2.0p $:14823_N4SD
R:260601/0242Z 52410@NS2B.#WNY.NY.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.25
R:260601/0241Z 68167@N3IP.#SEPA.PA.USA.NOAM BPQK6.0.24
R:260601/0230Z 2769@KA3VSP.DE.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.25
R:260601/0032Z 14823@N4SD.#TIDE.VA.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.24

FXXX10 KWNP 010031
DAYTDF

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Jun 01 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#             3-Day Forecast
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 01-Jun 03 2026 is 4.00 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 01-Jun 03 2026

             Jun 01       Jun 02       Jun 03
00-03UT       3.67         2.67         2.00     
03-06UT       3.00         2.33         3.33     
06-09UT       2.33         2.00         4.00     
09-12UT       2.00         1.33         3.00     
12-15UT       1.67         1.33         2.67     
15-18UT       2.00         2.00         2.33     
18-21UT       2.00         2.00         2.33     
21-00UT       2.33         2.33         2.67     

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.  No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jun 01-Jun 03 2026

              Jun 01  Jun 02  Jun 03
S1 or greater    5%      5%      1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jun 01-Jun 03 2026

              Jun 01        Jun 02        Jun 03
R1-R2           25%           25%           20%
R3 or greater    5%            5%            1%

Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts
on 01-02 Jun, with a slight chance for R1-R2 events on 03 Jun.

------
73 de Sperry N4SD
N4SD@N4SD.#TIDE.VA.USA.NOAM

Received via NOAA GOES-East satellite downlink





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