KO4YAW Read Bulletin

Message 20431 in SPACWX.USA

From: N4SD
Date: Tue, 07 Apr 26 12:32:00 Z
Newsgroups: SPACWX.USA
Subject: Space Weather 3-Day Forecast
Message-ID: <10700_N4SD>
Path: K7EK|N9SEO|WW6Q|W9GM|KA3BVJ|N3IP|KA3VSP|N4SD

R:260407/1413z @:K7EK.#NOKY.KY.USA.NOAM $:10700_N4SD
R:260407/1407Z 51585@N9SEO.#NAR.AR.USA.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.25
R:260407/1407Z 50688@WW6Q.#NEIN.IN.USA.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.25
R:260407/1407Z 56721@W9GM.#SWWI.WI.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.25
R:260407/1406Z 79777@KA3BVJ.#EPA.PA.USA.NOAM BPQ1.4.65
R:260407/1406Z 65257@N3IP.#SEPA.PA.USA.NOAM BPQK6.0.24
R:260407/1405Z 56703@KA3VSP.DE.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.25
R:260407/1232Z 10700@N4SD.#TIDE.VA.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.24

FXXX10 KWNP 071231
DAYTDF

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Apr 07 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#             3-Day Forecast
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Apr 07-Apr 09 2026 is 3.33 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Apr 07-Apr 09 2026

             Apr 07       Apr 08       Apr 09
00-03UT       3.33         3.33         3.33     
03-06UT       2.00         3.33         3.00     
06-09UT       2.00         1.67         1.67     
09-12UT       2.67         1.33         1.00     
12-15UT       2.33         2.00         0.67     
15-18UT       2.33         2.00         1.33     
18-21UT       1.67         1.67         1.33     
21-00UT       1.33         2.67         1.67     

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.  No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Apr 07-Apr 09 2026

              Apr 07  Apr 08  Apr 09
S1 or greater    5%      5%      5%

Rationale: There is less than a slight chance for the greater than 10
MeV proton flux to exceed S1 (Minor) solar radiation storm levels 07-09
Apr.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Apr 07-Apr 09 2026

              Apr 07        Apr 08        Apr 09
R1-R2           30%           30%           35%
R3 or greater    5%            5%           10%

Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts,
with a slight chance for R3 (Strong) or greater events 07-09 Apr.

------
73 de Sperry N4SD
N4SD@N4SD.#TIDE.VA.USA.NOAM

Received via NOAA GOES-East satellite downlink



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