Message 30073 in SITREP.USA.NOAM
From: VA2OPS
Date: Tue, 15 Sep 26 09:07:00 Z
Newsgroups: SITREP.USA.NOAM
Subject: SITREP ENSO_US
Message-ID: <14301_VA2OPS>
Path: N2MH4|NS2B|GB7CQV|MM0UHR|N3IP|KA3VSP|KA3BVJ|W9GM|WA2UET|K5DAT|N2NOV|N3MEL|VA2OPS
R:260915/1346Z 37243@N2MH4.#SENC.NC.USA.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.24
R:260915/1346Z 1576@NS2B.#WNY.NY.USA.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.25
R:260915/1322Z 25555@GB7CQV.#74.GBR.EURO LinBPQ6.0.25
R:260915/1322Z 23077@MM0UHR.#77.GBR.EURO LinBPQ6.0.25
R:260915/1320Z 74722@N3IP.#SEPA.PA.USA.NOAM BPQK6.0.24
R:260915/1320Z 8149@KA3VSP.DE.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.25
R:260915/1318Z 86891@KA3BVJ.#EPA.PA.USA.NOAM BPQ1.4.65
R:260915/1318Z 9904@W9GM.#SWWI.WI.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.25
R:260915/1318Z 50740@WA2UET.#ENY.NY.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.23
R:260915/1313Z 53220@K5DAT.#NEWI.WI.USA.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.25
R:260915/1313z @:N2NOV.#RICH.NY.USA.NOAM $:14301_VA2OPS
R:260915/1308Z 26895@N3MEL.#EPA.PA.USA.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.25
R:260915/0907Z 14301@VA2OPS.#MTL.QC.CAN.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.25
USA EL NINO FORECAST & CLIMATE OUTLOOK
EL NINO STATUS: Forecast for 2026-2027 El Nino is severe, referred
to as super El Nino or Godzilla El Nino. World Meteorological
Organization reports it will be largest El Nino in at least 1,000
years. Exceptionally high likelihood of nearly 100% that El Nino
will persist through February 2027.
WINTER 2026-27 OUTLOOK: During typical El Nino winter, jet stream
over north Pacific tends to shift southward, bringing storm track
over southern tier of US. Very active southern storm track
expected to bring heavier-than-normal precipitation from
California and Southwest eastward through Texas, Gulf Coast, and
Southeast. Winter 2026-2027 may be defined by contrasts: active
and wet southern storm track, quick bursts of snow and cold across
North, unpredictable mix in Northeast.
SUMMER 2026 TEMPERATURE: Official outlooks show increased potential
for above normal temperatures summer 2026. Precipitation outlooks
show equal chances of above, near, or below normal rainfall.
TROPICAL CYCLONE IMPACTS: El Nino increases wind shear across
tropical Atlantic reducing cyclone activity; primary reason for
NOAA seasonal outlook of below normal tropical cyclone activity
2026.
SOURCES: NOAA, World Meteorological Organization
INFO ONLY, UNVERIFIED, NO LIABILITY FOR ACCURACY.
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