Message 29743 in SITREP.USA.NOAM
From: VA2OPS
Date: Thu, 10 Sep 26 09:07:00 Z
Newsgroups: SITREP.USA.NOAM
Subject: SITREP ENSO_US
Message-ID: <14150_VA2OPS>
Path: N2MH4|WB4WPF|KA3VSP|N3MEL|VA2OPS
R:260910/1345Z 36937@N2MH4.#SENC.NC.USA.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.24
R:260910/1344Z 20173@WB4WPF.#SFL.FL.USA.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.25
R:260910/1338Z 7811@KA3VSP.DE.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.25
R:260910/1335Z 26504@N3MEL.#EPA.PA.USA.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.25
R:260910/0907Z 14150@VA2OPS.#MTL.QC.CAN.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.25
USA EL NINO FORECAST & CLIMATE OUTLOOK
EL NINO STATUS: El Niño declared by NOAA Climate Prediction Center
in early June 2026. Forecast describes 2026-2027 event as severe,
referred to as super El Niño or Godzilla El Niño. El Niño
persistence 100% probable through January-March 2027, 97% through
early spring 2027.
WINTER 2026-2027 TEMPERATURE: Pronounced split forecasted between
warmer conditions across much of northern United States and wetter
conditions across large portions of South and West. Mostly mild
temperatures predicted with colder stretch from central New
England through Appalachians and Ohio Valley.
WINTER 2026-2027 PRECIPITATION: NOAA favors above-normal
precipitation across broad southern United States and parts of
West, with strongest signals across Southern California, Arizona,
New Mexico, Texas, Gulf Coast and Southeast. Wetter than normal
across West and parts of South, Midwest, and Florida; drier than
normal in parts of East, Plains, and Southwest.
SUMMER 2026 OUTLOOK: Strong to very strong El Niño expected to start
this summer lasting through upcoming winter season. Increased
potential for above normal temperatures forecasted; precipitation
outlooks show equal chances of above, near, or below normal
rainfall.
SOURCES: NOAA, WMO, National Weather Service
INFO ONLY, UNVERIFIED, NO LIABILITY FOR ACCURACY.
← Return to Bulletin List