Message 24767 in NEWS.USA
From: N3MEL
Date: Sat, 27 Jun 26 03:37:00 Z
Newsgroups: NEWS.USA
Subject: The Wire - June 26, 2026
Message-ID: <19962_N3MEL>
Path: N2NOV|N2MH|N3MEL
R:260627/0338z @:N2NOV.#RICH.NY.USA.NOAM $:19962_N3MEL
R:260627/0337z @:N2MH.#NNJ.NJ.USA.NOAM [via AREDN Mesh] jnos 2.0p $:19962_N3MEL
R:260627/0337Z 19962@N3MEL.#EPA.PA.USA.NOAM LinBPQ6.0.25
//The Wire//2300Z June 26, 2026//
//ROUTINE//
//BLUF: RESCUE EFFORTS CONTINUE IN VENEZUELA AS INTERNATIONAL DISASTER
AID EFFORTS BEGIN. HORMUZ CRISIS REMAINS TENSE AS IRANIAN TARGETING OF
MERCHANT SHIPPING CONTINUES.//
-----BEGIN TEARLINE-----
-International Events-
Middle East: This morning another vessel was struck by Iranian forces in
the Strait of Hormuz. A total of four drones were reportedly launched
during this attack, with the White House claiming that three of the four
munitions were intercepted.
Analyst Comment: These targeting efforts have resulted in the
International Maritime Organization pausing their rescue plan to ensure
the orderly evacuation of the Persian Gulf, though as of this afternoon
the status of the Strait can only be described as a state of chaos. Some
vessels have turned around after being warned by the Iranians, or just
based on the news of other ships getting hit. Other vessels have gone
"full-send" and sprinted through the Strait, hoping for the best. What
has not materialized, has been a measurable surge of traffic into the
Gulf. Right now, most ships are trying to get out of the warzone when
they can be reasonably sure that it's safe to do so, and though there
have been ships moving back-and-forth through the Strait, traffic is
still nowhere near pre-war levels.
-----END TEARLINE-----
Analyst Comments: In Venezuela, rescue and recovery efforts continue
throughout the country following the earthquakes which devastated the
capital and several other major metropolitan areas. USSOUTHCOM has
activated disaster response plans to allocate military resources for
recovery efforts and other Central/South American nations are also
working on large-scale mobilization of disaster aid. Major earthquakes
in the global south tend to be vastly more serious than anywhere else
due to poor construction standards, and Venezuela is no exception.
On the ground, the hardest hit areas are the coastal region of La
Guaira, as well as the capital of Caracas. Nearly every single structure
and high-rise building at the tourist resorts along the coast north of
Simon Bolivar Airport have either been completely destroyed, or heavily
damaged. Hundreds of people remain trapped in the town of Carabelleda,
with many large buildings collapsing with little warning for residents.
Along the coast to the west, the town of Macuto suffered a similar fate,
with many people still being trapped inside collapsed buildings.
At this early hour, casualty counts are hard to assess, however the USGS
estimates that there is a 74% chance that the casualty figure is at
least 10,000 and that there's a 30% chance that the fatalities top
100,000 victims. Right now, it's very obvious that the 10,000-victim
figure is the conservative assessment, certainly in terms of total
victims (either injured or deceased). The United Nations estimated
around 50,000 persons missing as of this afternoon. Officially, the
total casualty figure is 971 confirmed fatalities, however this is not
only certain to rise over the next few weeks, but new casualties are
also extremely likely as well. Nearly all of the high-rise apartment
buildings which are still technically standing are exhibiting the
telltale signs of major structural compromise, such as X-shaped and
stair-shaped cracking in the masonry and concrete walls. These are
usually major indicators of severe structural damage, and that the risk
of the building collapsing is extremely high. However, most people are
still living inside these compromised structures, despite the very high
likelihood that more high-rises will collapse imminently.
Analyst: S2A1
Research: https://publish.obsidian.md/s2underground
Disclaimer: No LLMs were used in the writing of this report.
//END REPORT//
--
--
73 de Glenn N3MEL
(TPRFN) The Packet Radio RF Forwarding Network
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